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Welcome back to the Chart Decoder Series, where we break down the tools that separate casual traders from the seasoned pros. In the last episodes, we’ve covered: SMA vs EMA for trend direction MACD for momentum shifts RSI for overbought/oversold zones Bollinger Bands for volatility and price extremes Stochastic Oscillator for timing reversals VWAP for fair price detection Today, we’re diving into Volume and OBV (On-Balance Volume). When read together, these two indicators reveal where institutional money is flowing before the crowd catches on. What is On-Balance Volume (OBV)? OBV is a cumulative indicator created by Joe Granville in the 1960s. It’s built on one simple premise: volume precedes price. Smart money moves first, price follows later. The calculation is straightforward: If today’s close > yesterday’s close: Buyers won. Add today’s volume to OBV If today’s close Sellers won. Subtract today’s volume from OBV If today’s close = yesterday’s close: It’s a draw. OBV stays the same The result? A running tally of buying pressure vs selling pressure over time. Note that OBV only reacts to closing prices. Intraday swings don’t matter. You might see a deep red candle, but if the price closes higher than the day before, OBV still rises. That means buyers had the final say. How to Read Volume + OBV: Volume tells you how strong today’s move is. OBV shows you whether buying or selling pressure has been stacking up over time. Put them together, and you get both the short-term action and the bigger picture. 1. Confirmed Uptrend: Rising OBV + High Volume + Rising Price Everything lines up: institutional accumulation (OBV), strong participation (Volume), and upward movement (Price). These are typically the most reliable trends. Momentum and smart money are both backing the move. 2. Accumulation Zone: Rising OBV + Low Volume + Sideways Price Smart money accumulation phase. Institutions are quietly building positions without moving the price dramatically. This often precedes major breakouts when retail traders finally notice. Watch for a sudden volume spike or price breakout to confirm the move. 3. Distribution phase: Falling OBV + High Volume + Falling Price Distribution in progress. Smart money has been selling (OBV) and now there’s panic selling (Volume). These moves often have further to go as the selling pressure has been building. If you’re holding a long position, reassess quickly. 4. Divergence Patterns The most powerful signals occur when OBV and price disagree: Bullish Divergence: Price looks weak or stuck, but OBV quietly trends upward. That’s a sign big players are buying in. This could be a possible setup for a breakout. Bearish Divergence: Price keeps climbing, but OBV is slipping. That means demand is thinning out underneath. Smart money may be exiting early. 5. Breakout Confirmation: Rising OBV + Spiking Volume + Price breaking resistance This is the dream setup: institutions were already accumulating, retail jumps in, and the breakout comes with real conviction. This is often the green light. Make sure you’re not chasing too late. Real Example: BTC/USDT Analysis Price: $119,100 OBV: Flat at 15,302K Volume: Low and steady BTC has been consolidating just under $120K after a strong rally, but OBV is no longer climbing. The line has flattened out, suggesting that while aggressive selling isn’t present, neither is continued strong accumulation. This pause in OBV could mean smart money is waiting, not selling, but not actively buying either. Volume remains light, so any breakout from here will need fresh conviction to stick. No clear divergence for now, but the market is at a standstill. Watch OBV closely: if it starts rising again on green days, that could be the early signal bulls are back. Volume + OBV + Other Indicators: This combo works even better when combined with tools you already know: Volume + OBV + VWAP: When OBV is rising and the price approaches VWAP from below with high volume, it often signals institutional support at fair value levels. A bounce could be coming. Volume + OBV + RSI: Rising OBV with RSI in oversold territory often marks significant bottoms. Smart money is buying whilst sentiment is poor. This could be a turning point. Volume + OBV + MACD : If OBV is rising and MACD crosses bullish, it strengthens the case for an uptrend. If OBV is falling and MACD crosses bearish, the sell signal gains weight. Volume + OBV + Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands show price extremes. OBV can tell you if those extremes are supported by real pressure. If the price hits the lower band, but OBV is rising, this could be quiet accumulation during a pullback. A possible rebound may be brewing. If the price hits the upper band, but OBV is failing, this could signal distribution during the hype. A possible correction could follow. Bonus Read: OBV + Volume + VWAP – The Triple Confirmation Setup Price: $119,100 VWAP: 118,737 OBV: Flat at 15,302K Volume: Low and steady Here’s what this chart is telling us: Price is slightly above VWAP , which suggests BTC is trading just above its fair value based on recent volume. That’s neutral to mildly bullish but not a strong signal on its own. OBV has flattened out after a solid uptrend, showing that cumulative buying pressure has stalled. Smart money might be taking a breather, they’re not selling, but not actively buying either. Volume remains light , so while there’s no panic selling, there’s also no surge of conviction from either side. Conclusion: This is a neutral zone. Price is holding steady just above VWAP, but OBV and volume aren’t confirming a breakout yet. If OBV starts rising again with a volume spike, that could be your green light. Until then, stay patient. Pro Tips for Volume + OBV: 1. Use Multiple Timeframes Daily OBV: Shows longer-term institutional flow 4-hour OBV: Good for swing trading setups 1-hour OBV: Helps with precise entry timing 2. Watch Trend Changes, Not Just the OBV Value Don’t just look at whether OBV is positive or negative. Watch for changes in the trend. A rising OBV after a long decline can be more meaningful than one that’s been flat for weeks. 3. Volume Quality Matters Not all volume is equal. Activity during London/New York sessions often reflects institutional participation, whereas weekend or early-Asia volume may be noise. 4. Combine with Key Price Levels OBV works best when price is also near support or resistance . If OBV is rising and price is pushing toward resistance, a breakout might be coming. If OBV is falling and price is near support, it could break lower. 5. Be Patient with Divergences Divergences between price and OBV can persist for days or weeks. Just because OBV is rising while price is flat (or falling), doesn’t mean a breakout will happen today or tomorrow. Big players often build their positions slowly and quietly. It can take time before the price catches up. 6. Know the Limitations Choppy markets: OBV gives mixed signals during extended sideways action as money flows back and forth without clear direction. News events: Major developments can distort OBV readings due to price gaps. Never use alone: Always combine with other indicators and price action for confirmation. Try It on Bitfinex: Log in to Bitfinex Choose any major trading pair (BTC/USD, ETH/USD work well) Add the Volume histogram at the bottom Add OBV from the indicators menu Look for the patterns we’ve discussed Practice spotting divergences between price and OBV See Volume + OBV in action Next in the Chart Decoder Series: ATR (Average True Range): How to measure market volatility and position size like a pro. Bitfinex. The Original Bitcoin Exchange. The post Chart Decoder Series: Volume + OBV – The Smart Money Tracking System appeared first on Bitfinex blog .
The long-standing legal dispute between Ripple Labs and the U.S. SEC has finally come to an end, marking a significant milestone in the history of cryptocurrency. Yet, according to legal expert Fred Rispoli, the fight could still be revived under specific circumstances. Although the appeals have been dismissed, the case may not be fully settled, as new challenges could reignite it. Ripple vs SEC Case Officially Concludes After nearly five years of intense legal wrangling, Ripple and the SEC have filed a joint motion to dismiss their respective appeals. On August 7, 2025, this move was made public, officially closing a landmark case that has influenced U.S. crypto regulations since 2020. Fred Rispoli, a respected attorney and longtime follower of the case, confirmed the development in a post on X, stating: “It is done.” This brief but powerful remark captured the relief and closure felt across the XRP community. The lawsuit, which began in December 2020, accused Ripple of conducting an unregistered securities offering through the sale of XRP. "It is done." John 19:30 "Unless another administration rolls through that is hostile to crypto and Congress hasn't done d*ck on passing legislation." Fred 3:19 https://t.co/HzRSpdfpcR — Fred Rispoli (@freddyriz) August 7, 2025 The tides turned in July 2023 when Judge Analisa Torres ruled that XRP is not a security when traded on secondary markets; however, it could be considered a security in institutional sales. This critical distinction paved the way for further negotiations. The final settlement resolved monetary penalties and led to both parties abandoning their appeals , effectively ending the case. Fred Rispoli’s Warning: Two Scenarios Could Reopen the Case Despite the case’s closure, Rispoli cautioned that it might not be over forever. In a follow-up to his post, he wrote: “Unless another administration rolls through that is hostile to crypto and Congress hasn’t done d*ck on passing legislation.” These two hypothetical scenarios highlight lingering vulnerabilities within the U.S. regulatory landscape. First, a future U.S. administration that is hostile to digital assets could choose to revisit the Ripple case or initiate similar enforcement actions. Given the shifting political winds and lack of unified regulatory stance across federal agencies, crypto firms remain exposed to unpredictable policy changes. We are on twitter, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) July 15, 2023 Second, Congress’s ongoing failure to pass comprehensive crypto legislation leaves a dangerous void. Despite multiple bipartisan proposals, lawmakers have not yet defined the legal framework for digital assets. In this regulatory gray zone, agencies such as the SEC and CFTC continue to assert competing authority , a dynamic that invites legal uncertainty and potential future action. XRP and the Industry Move Forward — Cautiously For now, the XRP community is celebrating the conclusion of a draining legal saga. The dismissal of appeals clears a path for increased institutional adoption and removes a cloud of uncertainty that has long weighed on XRP’s market performance. However, as Rispoli noted, lasting peace depends on legislative clarity and political stability. Until both are secured, the risk of renewed legal action remains. The Ripple case may be done, but the fight for regulatory clarity in crypto is far from over. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Legal Expert: These Two Conditions Could Reactivate Ripple (XRP) vs SEC Case appeared first on Times Tabloid .
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Crypto pundit Versan Aljarrah, the founder of Black Swan Capitalist, published a lengthy post on X on Aug. 7 alleging that the XRP price is being deliberately constrained by a multi-pronged architecture spanning exchanges, regulation, and liquidity infrastructure. Framing the situation as “The Biggest Financial Cover-Up,” Aljarrah writes that “the current price of XRP doesn’t reflect its utility, its adoption, or its strategic position,” and claims the “suppression mechanisms in place are layered, coordinated, and strategically embedded within the very exchanges, regulations, and infrastructure that claim to support a free market.” Is The XRP Price Manipulated? Anchoring his thesis to the SEC’s December 2020 enforcement action against Ripple, Aljarrah characterizes the timing as deliberate and disruptive rather than investor-protective. “This wasn’t about investor protection. It was strategic economic warfare,” he argues, asserting that “just days after XRP began gaining traction on Bloomberg and other news outlets,” the lawsuit was filed “under direct orders from central planners and Wall Street.” He ties that filing to what he describes as momentum in XRP’s real-world payments utility, citing Ripple’s relationship with MoneyGram and “other key global payment corridors.” According to Aljarrah, the case “froze US institutional capital, forced XRP off most trading platforms, and created uncertainty around its legal status,” echoing a view he attributes to @Jvallee2000 that the action was about “disrupting momentum and eliminating competition through regulatory overreach.” Related Reading: XRP Price Projection: 5 Key Things To Watch Out For As The Bull Market Unfolds The core of his market-structure critique targets centralized exchanges. Aljarrah claims that whenever “liquidity begins to build or organic volume starts to rise,” XRP encounters “clear patterns of coordinated resistance.” He alleges the presence of “algorithmic trading bots, spoof orders, and systematic wash trading” that “consistently stall momentum or create fake volume to obscure real demand,” and argues that if XRP “were treated like any other digital asset,” it would exhibit “sharp upward price action as utility driven demand increases.” Instead, he says, the market repeatedly “bumps into artificial sell walls at key resistance points and high volume transactions that mysteriously have no impact whatsoever on the spot price,” which he calls “no accident.” Aljarrah devotes particular attention to how he believes enterprise payments activity is insulated from public price discovery. He describes Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity flows as settling in XRP “but [being] intentionally kept off the radar of traditional market activity.” In his telling, “volume is somehow routed through OTC desks, private liquidity hubs, and arranged corridor partners to minimize slippage and limit the market exposure.” That routing, he argues, enables XRP to “function as a global bridge asset without triggering visible price increases on public exchanges.” He concedes uncertainty on the precise mechanics—“I’m not sure how this is done but maybe this has anything to do with it?”—and points readers to an external video clip as a possible illustration. Related Reading: XRP May Be Headed For A Deeper Correction, Warns Analyst He then situates these alleged microstructure effects within what he portrays as a structurally restricted US market during critical adoption years. “Coinbase, Kraken, and other major exchanges delisted and restricted XRP following the SEC lawsuit, effectively cutting off access for retail investors,” Aljarrah writes, while claiming Ripple’s expansion “globally, particularly across Asia and the Middle East,” left US participants “sidelined under the guise of regulatory uncertainty.” He characterizes the dynamic bluntly: “The US was playing both sides, and there’s proof of it.” XRP Adoption In The Dark? The post also advances a narrative of divergence between XRP’s intended function and its observed trading correlations. Aljarrah says XRP has been “treated as a long term utility instrument for a new monetary system, unlike 99% of the crypto market,” yet its price action remains tethered to “violent, speculative assets like $BTC and $ETH, neither of which offer any real utility.” He alleges “institutional accumulation behind the scenes,” asserting that while “retail investors were kept in the dark and blocked from key markets, institutional players gained early access through private investment vehicles, regulatory sandboxes, and cross-border corridor testing.” Summarizing this view, he insists: “The flows are real, yet none of it shows up on public charts. Meaning, XRP is being adopted. It’s being used. But its price is being managed.” Price level rhetoric features prominently in Aljarrah’s conclusion. “You can’t accept XRP’s role in real time settlements, central bank integrations, and global remittance adoption at a stagnant $3 price tag without acknowledging how tightly it’s being controlled,” he writes, adding a categorical forecast: “If XRP were allowed to operate in a truly open and fair global marketplace, without artificial barriers, I guarantee you it wouldn’t be hovering around three dollars.” He closes by asserting a deliberate, time-bound design to the current state of play: “There’s a deliberate framework designed to suppress XRP until the infrastructure is fully built and legacy systems are ready to migrate.” The open issue he poses—“how long will the suppression continue while the very institutions enforcing it prepare to flip the switch?”—serves as his final provocation. Aljarrah’s post presents a comprehensive allegation that links legal timing, exchange behavior, liquidity routing, and institutional access to a single outcome: visible underpricing relative to utility. The claims are framed as assertions rather than accompanied by underlying order-book data, corridor-level volumes, or documentary evidence. But his position, in his own words, is unambiguous: “XRP is being adopted. It’s being used. But its price is being managed.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.33. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Mike Novogratz, chief executive of Galaxy Digital, told CNBC that a new executive order from US President Donald Trump could make it easier for retirement plans to include cryptocurrencies. According to reports, the order asks the Labor Department to review ERISA rules so alternatives such as crypto, private equity, and real estate can be offered inside 401(k) plans. That’s a policy signal that could matter to many savers, but it will not instantly change how plans operate. Trump EO: Potential For Trillions In Retirement Savings Based on reports, Americans hold about $8.7 trillion in 401(k) assets, so even small allocations would add up. Novogratz said that if companies like Fidelity, BlackRock or T. Rowe Price package crypto in retirement-friendly vehicles, mainstream access would increase. That could let ordinary savers get exposure through tax-advantaged accounts they already use. Plan sponsors and record-keepers remain subject to ERISA responsibilities and questions of duty of care. Those responsibilities mandate fiduciaries to act in a prudent way for participants, and introducing volatile assets creates genuine legal and compliance concerns. Thus, though the executive order reflects a change, regulators and plan providers must sort through operational realities before numerous retirement accounts hold significant crypto positions. Fiduciary And Operational Hurdles Plan administrators will need custody solutions, audit trails, and low-cost product structures to make crypto fit with defined contribution plans. Many crypto vehicles carry lockups or higher fees, and that clashes with how 401(k) menus are usually set up. Litigation risk also remains: a sharp drop in value could lead to scrutiny from participants or courts. Regulators will likely balance investor protection against widening access, and asset managers will balance demand with legal caution. Market moves show the headline effect in action. Based on reports, Bitcoin traded at $116,500, up 3.0% in the past day, while Ethereum traded at $3,810, a 6% rise in the same timeframe. Novogratz has pointed to institutional products such as BlackRock’s Bitcoin Trust as evidence of growing demand. Those products help create familiar entry points for big money and retail investors alike. A Gradual Rollout Don’t expect an instant tidal wave. Product teams at major managers will likely pilot custody and compliance setups before offering broad access. Plan sponsors may start with small, optional allocations or specialized windows rather than adding crypto to default funds. Small percentages across many accounts could still add up to large dollar flows if given time. In short, based on reports and Novogratz’s remarks, the executive order is a major political signal that could encourage more retirement capital toward crypto over time after Trump gives the EO its final seal of approval. Featured image from Pool/Getty Images, chart from TradingView
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Economists at the banking giant Wells Fargo think the US dollar is primed to trend weaker for the rest of the year, but they don’t have the same outlook for 2026. In a new analysis , they predict that the greenback will weaken against most G10 and emerging market currencies until the end of 2025. This is primarily due to their expectation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut the federal funds rate by 75 basis points throughout the remainder of the year, with predicted 25-point cuts at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings in September, October and December. The Wells Fargo economists predict US GDP (gross domestic product) growth in the second half of the year, but they also believe the US economy will “lose its outperformance pillar of support.” “As economic growth trends favor international economies, we believe a foundation for foreign currency support will form and foreign currencies can strengthen over the next few months.” However, they predict those trends will reverse next year, giving the dollar strength throughout 2026. “By next year, the Fed should have ended its easing cycle and is likely to keep rates on hold. The carry appeal of the dollar should be attractive next year, and bring capital flows back to the United States. In addition, fiscal stimulus from the “Big Beautiful Bill” should support US growth trends, while upcoming Fed easing should also support activity in the United States. And while tariffs are likely to remain implemented next year, corporations and financial markets may feel more comfortable operating in a tariff environment by next year. In that sense, US corporates may move ahead with investment decisions, while market participants may also feel comfortable investing as US policy uncertainty recedes.” Follow us on X , Facebook and Telegram Don't Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox Check Price Action Surf The Daily Hodl Mix Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing. Generated Image: Midjourney The post Rate Cuts Incoming and US Dollar Decline Not Over Yet, According to Wells Fargo Analysts – Here’s Their Outlook appeared first on The Daily Hodl .
Bags Wif Hat? The founder of a rising token launchpad bought a meme coin-linked knitted hat for nearly $800,000—here’s why.
Bitcoin's classification as a security or commodity matters. Understand the key differences and how this debate impacts its regulation and investment.