Big news for anyone following the world of decentralized networks! The EOS Network is making a significant move, accelerating its highly anticipated rebrand to Vaulta . This isn’t just a name change; it signals a potential new era for the network, and things are happening faster than initially planned. What’s Happening with the EOS Network and Vaulta Rebrand? The core of the news is the acceleration of the Vaulta rebrand timeline. Originally, the deployment of the new token contract was scheduled for May 23rd. However, according to information circulating in crypto-focused channels like @twitchoong, this key step has been brought forward by over a week. Here’s a quick look at the updated key dates: May 7th: Exchanges are required to announce their support for the rebranding. This date also marks the planned unveiling of the official proposal detailing the changes and the new EOS token ticker. May 14th: The new token contract is now scheduled to be deployed. This is a crucial technical step in the transition process. May 28th: A formal, public announcement regarding the rebrand is expected to be made during the 2025 Bitcoin Conference. This accelerated pace suggests a strong drive to move forward with the EOS rebrand and establish the network under its new identity, Vaulta. Why is the Vaulta Rebrand Happening Now? While the exact reasons for the acceleration haven’t been formally detailed alongside the initial news, rebranding in the crypto space often aims to: Signal a major technological upgrade or strategic shift. Create a fresh identity, potentially shedding past challenges or controversies. Better reflect the network’s current vision and future goals. Attract new users, developers, and investors under a new banner. The move to Vaulta could be positioning the network for specific use cases or technological advancements that the new name is intended to represent. This crypto rebrand is a significant event for the community. What Does This Mean for EOS Token Holders and Exchanges? For existing EOS token holders, the primary concern will be how the transition impacts their holdings. The requirement for exchanges to announce support by May 7th is a positive sign, indicating that major platforms are being given notice and are expected to facilitate the swap or recognition of the new token ticker. Users holding EOS on supported exchanges will likely see their tokens automatically updated or swapped according to the exchange’s plan. Those holding tokens in self-custody wallets will need to follow official instructions released alongside the proposal on May 7th to ensure their tokens are correctly transitioned to the new Vaulta identity. Exchanges face a tighter deadline to prepare their systems for the new contract deployment on May 14th. Their timely support is critical for a smooth transition for the majority of users. Looking Ahead: The Future of the EOS Network as Vaulta The formal announcement at the Bitcoin Conference on May 28th is expected to provide more comprehensive details about the vision behind Vaulta, including potential technological advancements, ecosystem plans, and how the new identity will position the network in the competitive blockchain landscape. This accelerated crypto rebrand is setting the stage for future developments. The success of the Vaulta rebrand will depend heavily on the technical execution of the contract deployment, the support from exchanges and the wider community, and the clarity of the future roadmap presented. Keeping an eye on official announcements from the EOS Network (soon to be Vaulta) is essential for anyone involved. Summary The EOS Network is speeding up its transformation into Vaulta , pushing the token contract deployment to May 14th. This accelerated timeline requires exchanges to declare support by May 7th, the same day the new token ticker and proposal are expected. A full reveal is planned for May 28th. This rapid EOS rebrand marks a pivotal moment, requiring vigilance from token holders and swift action from exchanges to ensure a seamless transition into the Vaulta era. The future direction under the new name remains the key focus following these initial technical steps. To learn more about the latest crypto rebrand trends, explore our article on key developments shaping the EOS Network institutional adoption.
UK regulators plan to ban retail investors from buying crypto assets with debt, citing financial risk and volatility. The UK is introducing sweeping rules for crypto, including a ban on buying these risky assets with debt. On Friday, May 2, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority published a new document proposing new rules for crypto assets. The ban would include purchases made with credit cards, e-money, and any other form of debt. According to the regulators, the goal is to protect consumers in the event that these volatile assets decline in value. In addition, retail investors will be barred from engaging with certain crypto lending platforms, which the regulator deems high-risk. You might also like: U.S. House hearing reignites crypto regulation push, hopes for clarity ‘this year’ At the same time, the regulator outlined new rules for crypto platforms. For one, crypto companies would be required to establish a legal entity in the UK and fall under UK regulatory oversight. Specifically, the regulations would mandate transparent pricing and the segregation of platform assets from those of users. Moreover, the proposed regulation would ban payment for order flow, citing the potential for misuse. The practice refers to brokers directing their clients’ orders to selected market makers, potentially creating conflicts of interest. UK is ‘open for business’: FCA director David Geale, FCA executive director of payments and digital finance, stated that these regulations aim to provide investor protections. However, he dismissed claims that the country was cracking down on the crypto industry. “Crypto is an area of potential growth for the UK but it has to be done right. To do that we have to provide an appropriate level of protection,” David Geale, FCA. You might also like: A way out or a way around? Rethinking A16z’s crypto regulation Proposal He compared crypto with other high-risk assets and noted that, in many cases, crypto regulations offer even less protection. However, he emphasized that the country is welcoming toward crypto trading and innovation. “I would in some ways compare this to any other high-risk investments, which if anything often have less protections . . . We are open for business” You might also like: ‘Massive year for crypto in the U.K.’: London unveils sweeping crypto rules, eyes regulatory ties with USA
FCA Seeks Feedback on Crypto Rules for 2026 Regulation Rollout
Analysts are currently assessing the likelihood of a Cardano (ADA) spot Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) launching this year. While some estimations suggest a 75% probability of approval, this optimism is tempered by the current market dynamics and Cardano’s on-chain metrics. Stagnant Market Performance Despite Bitcoin’s recent surge, Cardano has struggled to gain upward momentum, remaining below … Continue reading "Cardano ETF Prospects Face Market Headwinds" The post Cardano ETF Prospects Face Market Headwinds appeared first on Cryptoknowmics-Crypto News and Media Platform .
Cryptocurrencies are all over the news, but not all crypto projects are created equal. The blockchain space has seen many highs and lows, leaving many to question: Which crypto can deliver real-world value while ensuring long-term viability? As the world faces financial uncertainty, more people are entering the crypto space, seeking projects that offer both a solution to current problems and strong upside potential. With blockchain technology constantly evolving, many investors are on the lookout for the next big thing, often experiencing the fear of missing out (FOMO) on opportunities. The most recent and exciting contender to watch in this space is Qubetics. Its presale is generating buzz, and as of the 32nd stage. Is Qubetics the top crypto to invest in for short term? Let’s take a deeper look into Qubetics, Polygon, and Algorand—three blockchain projects that stand out in terms of innovation, partnerships, and future potential. All of them are vying for a spot in the blockchain limelight. But the question remains: which one offers the best short-term opportunities? Qubetics: A Game-Changer in Blockchain Interoperability Qubetics is quickly gaining attention in the cryptocurrency world, especially with its impressive top crypto presale numbers. The project is at the cutting edge of blockchain interoperability, enabling easier interaction between businesses, professionals, and individuals across different blockchains. This is no small feat, considering the limitations that current blockchain networks face. Interoperability is crucial to the future of digital finance, and Qubetics aims to address this challenge in a novel way. Qubetics is not just about creating another cryptocurrency. It’s about building an ecosystem that connects various blockchain platforms to foster more efficient and secure transactions. With the rapid growth of blockchain applications, the demand for interoperability has skyrocketed. For businesses, this could mean faster payments, streamlined processes, and enhanced security. Key Features of Qubetics: Interoperability : Seamlessly connects multiple blockchain networks, allowing businesses and individuals to transfer assets across platforms effortlessly. Scalable Ecosystem : As blockchain networks expand, Qubetics ensures that its infrastructure can support growing demand. Strong Presale Performance : Over 510 million tokens have been sold, and the project has raised more than $16.5 million. ROI Potential : Analysts predict significant returns post-presale, with a potential 377% ROI at $1 per token and even higher returns once the mainnet launches. Analysts predict that after the mainnet launch, Qubetics could see a price surge from $6 to $10, resulting in massive ROI. This makes Qubetics a standout choice for short-term crypto enthusiasts looking to capitalize on emerging blockchain solutions. Polygon’s Plonky3 Revolutionizes Blockchain Scalability Polygon has launched Plonky3, a state-of-the-art zero-knowledge (ZK) proving system that has set a new standard for scalability in the blockchain space. This breakthrough offers over 2 million hashes per second, making it the fastest ZK proving system available. Plonky3 enables faster and more efficient decentralized applications (dApps), supporting various virtual machines like Valida and SP1. Its modular design allows developers to optimize it for various use cases, cementing Polygon’s role as a leader in blockchain innovation. Algorand’s Real-Time Staking Rewards Set to Transform Blockchain Participation Algorand has introduced its real-time staking rewards program as part of the “Algorand 4.0” upgrade. The new program offers rewards directly to validators with no slashing penalties, allowing for a more inclusive and cost-efficient staking experience. With validators receiving rewards in real-time, this upgrade enhances network security and incentivizes further participation. The innovative structure of this staking model positions Algorand as a powerful player in the blockchain space, promoting both security and decentralization. Final Thoughts: Will Qubetics, Polygon, or Algorand Lead the Future? The cryptocurrency market is a rapidly evolving landscape, and staying ahead of the curve is crucial for anyone looking to get involved in this space. While Qubetics, Polygon, and Algorand all offer unique solutions to pressing blockchain problems, Qubetics’ focus on interoperability is especially intriguing for anyone looking to invest in the future of digital finance. If you’re looking for a top crypto to invest in for short term growth, these three projects are worthy of attention. Qubetics stands out due to its scalable ecosystem and massive ROI potential; Polygon continues to push boundaries in the world of dApps and NFTs, while Algorand’s high-speed, secure blockchain makes it an ideal option for large-scale adoption. Now, the big question: Which project will change the game? It’s time to explore each one and make an informed decision that could lead to future profits. For More Information: Qubetics: https://qubetics.com Presale: https://buy.qubetics.com Telegram: https://t.me/qubetics Twitter: https://x.com/qubetics FAQs What is Qubetics, and why is it gaining attention? Qubetics is a blockchain project focused on interoperability, allowing seamless transactions between different blockchain networks. It has gained attention due to its massive presale success and potential for high returns. How does Polygon solve scalability issues for Ethereum? Polygon offers a Layer 2 scaling solution that enables Ethereum to handle more transactions at lower costs, thereby improving the speed and efficiency of decentralized applications. Why is Algorand considered one of the fastest blockchains? Algorand employs a distinctive proof-of-stake algorithm that enables swift transaction processing while maintaining a high level of security and decentralization. What is the expected return on investment (ROI) for Qubetics after the presale? Analysts predict that Qubetics could provide a return on investment (ROI) of up to 377% at $1 per token after the presale, with even higher potential returns once the mainnet launches. What industries are adopting Algorand’s blockchain technology? Algorand is seeing adoption in various industries, including finance, supply chain management, and digital assets, thanks to its fast transaction speeds and robust security features. The post From $0.2093 to $10+? – Does That Make Qubetics the Top Crypto to Invest in for Short Term with Polygon and Algorand appeared first on TheCoinrise.com .
Bitcoin soars past $96,000 pre-Fed meeting, reflecting crypto's volatility. U.S. Continue Reading: Bitcoin Surges Beyond $96,000 as Market Anticipates Fed Meeting Outcome The post Bitcoin Surges Beyond $96,000 as Market Anticipates Fed Meeting Outcome appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
The UK's potential credit ban for crypto purchases could reshape consumer behavior, emphasizing financial caution and regulatory oversight. The post UK plans to ban use of credit for Bitcoin, crypto purchases as debt risks grow appeared first on Crypto Briefing .
Ripple initiated its monthly rebalancing on May 1, transferring 1 billion XRP across several internal addresses. Two main wallets, labeled Ripple (26) and Ripple (27), moved in coordination in two transactions to four receiving addresses, with Ripple later locking 700M XRP in escrow. While this is a part of Ripple’s established monthly protocol, no escrow release has been recorded for May 2025. Ripple initiated its monthly rebalancing on May 1, transferring 1 billion XRP across several internal addresses. Source: Whale Alert It started with Ripple (26) sending 500 million XRP in two transactions; firstly, 300 million XRP to Ripple (1) and 200 million XRP to Ripple (14). Ripple (51), for instance, later changed another 500 million XRP to Ripple (27), 300 million to Ripple (14), 30 million to Ripple (15) and 170 million to Ripple (51). The receiving wallets acted fast. By 23:01, Ripple (14) escrowed its full 500 million XRP. The next was Ripple (15), who locked 30 million XRP, and Ripple (51), which moved 170 million XRP to escrow at 23:04. Ripple re-secured an additional 700 million XRP, $1.547 billion at the time, with Ripple (1) keeping the other 300 million XRP. Ripple’s re-lock of the majority of XRP comes at a time when the May 2025 lock of the escrow is unusually late. Normally, 1 billion XRP becomes unlocked every month. In April, the company followed a similar flow, shuffling 1 billion XRP on the first day, returning 700 million to escrow, and confirming the 1 billion unlock only two days later. No confirmation of a released token has been made so far in May. Ripple has taken this strategy further to control XRP circulation and tackle inflationary concerns, which it is constantly working on. Monthly unlocks of a large portion reduce Ripple’s market impact in the short term, potentially supporting the market. Ripple prioritizes acquisitions over IPO plans Meanwhile, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse clarified in a recent Bloomberg interview that the company was not preparing for a public listing. Rather, Ripple seeks to acquire blockchain infrastructure companies that fit into its business model. Ripple wanted to expand the scope of its services by making strategic acquisitions rather than going to the capital markets to raise money, Garlinghouse confirmed. He noted that Ripple has grown organically, scaling its customer base and revenues without external funding. The company’s balance sheet offers the company the ability to acquire firms that provide foundational infrastructure for blockchain applications. Though Ripple declined to mention any particular acquisition target, the pivot suggests the company wants to expand its technology stack. XRP price outlook XRP is trading at $2.22 as of Friday and is showing marginal movement amid a general crypto bull run. In the last 7 days, XRP has been up 2%, and it has declined 2% in the last 24 hours. BTC’s climb past $97,000 hasn’t triggered a meaningful XRP rally from Ripple’s token. CasiTrades, a crypto analyst, described XRP’s next price move as bullish. In her analysis, she says XRP is retesting key levels around $2.25, which could be a pivot point. The asset could briefly dip to $1.90 as it completes a corrective wave pattern, but quickly kicks off a breakout. On lower timeframes, she identified RSI fatigue, suggesting that the downward pressure may soon ease. If XRP is able to flip $2.25 to the buy side again, she sees an upward target to $2.68, potentially reaching $3 if buying pressure holds. CasiTrades called the current pullback a “final flush” before a possible major move upward. Cryptopolitan Academy: Tired of market swings? Learn how DeFi can help you build steady passive income. Register Now
The world of cryptocurrency is always buzzing with activity, and recently, all eyes have been on the Bitcoin Price . Trading comfortably above the $97,000 mark, Bitcoin’s recent upward movement appears to be influenced by factors extending beyond the typical crypto sphere – specifically, potential trade discussions between the United States and China. This geopolitical development has sparked renewed optimism among investors and analysts alike, bringing the ambitious $100k Bitcoin target back into sharp focus. How Do US-China Trade Hopes Impact the Crypto Market? Geopolitical events, particularly those involving major global economies like the US and China, often have ripple effects across financial markets. The news that the United States has reportedly reached out to China through various channels to discuss tariffs, as reported by CoinDesk citing Chinese state media, is a significant development. While direct links between trade policy and Bitcoin might not be immediately obvious, here’s why this news is relevant: Risk-On Sentiment: Easing trade tensions are generally seen as positive for global economic stability. This can foster a ‘risk-on’ environment where investors become more comfortable allocating capital to potentially higher-growth assets, including cryptocurrencies. Dollar Strength/Weakness: Trade disputes can impact currency valuations. A de-escalation could influence the US dollar’s strength, which in turn can affect the price of assets like Bitcoin, often seen as an alternative store of value. Historical Precedent: As noted in the original report, previous sharp increases in US tariffs earlier this year coincided with a significant drop in BTC prices. This suggests a correlation, where trade friction negatively impacted Bitcoin. Conversely, signs of a potential ‘trade detente’ are now seen as a positive catalyst. Market Sentiment and the $100k Bitcoin Dream The resurgence of trade talk hopes has clearly lifted spirits in the crypto community, but it’s important to look at the full picture. While many are optimistic, platforms like Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market, offer a different perspective. Bettors on Polymarket currently estimate only a 22% chance that a trade agreement will be reached by June. This highlights the underlying skepticism and uncertainty that still exists despite the positive news headlines. However, the possibility of easing tensions, even if uncertain, is enough for many to reconsider the near-term potential of Bitcoin. The psychological barrier of $100k Bitcoin is a powerful target, and any positive macro news can quickly shift market sentiment towards bullishness. BTC Price Prediction: Is $100K Really Within Reach? Beyond the geopolitical factors, many observers point to strong underlying cryptocurrency indicators that support the possibility of hitting the $100k Bitcoin mark. While specific indicators weren’t detailed in the original snippet, a comprehensive Crypto Market Analysis often involves looking at several on-chain metrics and technical signals: Common Indicators Considered in BTC Price Prediction: While not exhaustive, analysts often examine: On-Chain Activity: Metrics like active addresses, transaction volume, and the number of large transactions can indicate network health and adoption. Exchange Flows: Tracking Bitcoin moving onto or off exchanges can signal potential buying or selling pressure. Net outflows are often seen as bullish. Miner Behavior: How miners are selling or holding their BTC can provide insights into their confidence in future price movements. Technical Analysis: Chart patterns, support and resistance levels, moving averages, and indicators like RSI or MACD are used to identify potential price trajectories. Macroeconomic Environment: Factors like inflation, interest rates, and global liquidity play a significant role. When these indicators align positively with favorable macroeconomic winds, like the potential easing of trade tensions, the case for a significant price move becomes stronger. The current confluence of factors is leading many to believe that the path towards $100k Bitcoin is indeed plausible in the near future. Challenges and What Could Derail the Rally Despite the optimism surrounding the Bitcoin Price and the $100k Bitcoin target, it’s crucial to acknowledge the potential challenges. The skepticism reflected in the Polymarket prediction isn’t unfounded. Trade negotiations are notoriously complex and can fall apart quickly. Should the talks fail to materialize or break down, the very catalyst currently fueling the rally could reverse, leading to downward price pressure. Other potential headwinds include: Unexpected negative regulatory news from major jurisdictions. Significant shifts in central bank policies. Large-scale selling events from whales or institutions. Broader instability in traditional financial markets. A thorough Crypto Market Analysis requires considering these risks alongside the bullish signals. Actionable Insights for Investors Given the current environment, what should investors consider? Here are a few actionable insights: Monitor the News Closely: Keep a close eye on developments regarding US-China trade talks. News headlines can cause swift price movements in either direction. Diversify: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. While Bitcoin is a major player, the crypto market offers many opportunities. Do Your Own Research: Understand the fundamentals of Bitcoin and other assets you invest in. Don’t rely solely on price predictions. Consider Risk Management: Only invest what you can afford to lose. Use tools like stop-loss orders if you are actively trading. Look Beyond Headlines: While macro news is important, delve into on-chain data and technical analysis for a more complete picture of market health and potential future movements. Summary: Navigating the Path to $100K The recent rise in Bitcoin Price , significantly influenced by hopes of a de-escalation in the US China Trade War , has injected a fresh wave of optimism into the market. The tantalizing prospect of reaching $100k Bitcoin is once again a prominent topic of discussion, supported by potentially favorable macro conditions and strong underlying crypto indicators. However, the path is not without its hurdles. The uncertainty surrounding the trade talks themselves, coupled with other potential market risks, means that while the target is within sight according to some, it is by no means guaranteed. A comprehensive Crypto Market Analysis requires staying informed, understanding the interplay of global events and market dynamics, and approaching the market with a balanced perspective. Whether Bitcoin will indeed ‘explode’ past $100,000 remains to be seen, but the current confluence of factors certainly makes it an exciting time to watch the market unfold. To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action.
Summary A bearish development is potentially set in motion by the confirmed head-and-shoulders pattern. Bitcoin has crossed its minimum 1-year bull market mark (maximum 1.5 years) and is closely tracking its 2021 bear market setup in both price action and timing. The negative real GDP growth in the US adds another layer of bearishness that an improvement in sentiment alone can't be easily offset. We expect a very particular sequence of five events to occur in the bear market, which results in these key levels for high-probability trades: $88,000, $55,000, $33,000, and $16,500. Our current action plan is to liquidate our Bitcoin portfolio in its entirety over the next few months. Introduction Due to our busy schedule, it has been a while since we last published our work. Even then, we felt the need to disseminate our findings due to the potentially massive implications of Bitcoin's current price action development. At the worst-case scenario (which is also the expected scenario based on Bitcoin's past 3 bear markets, which we'll discuss later), it could destroy over 80% of Bitcoin's market cap over the next year, as in the past. Just as we've fully offloaded all positions in Bitcoin Mining Companies back in November 2024 , we're also looking to liquidate our Bitcoin portfolio over the coming months. Looking back, this decision proves wise as the spread (return) between Bitcoin and Bitcoin miners continues to widen. Since Bitcoin miners are more volatile than Bitcoin, past data shows miners are expected to suffer worse drawdowns during a Bitcoin bear market. Data by YCharts Therefore, this article presents key indicators one must track to keep risk exposure in check. Just as we've looked at key indicators (the Coppock Curve and the 6-week window) to successfully trade the $70,000 breakout back in September 2024, we're also looking at several key indicators to reduce noise and increase clarity and confidence in our trading decisions. A bearish development is potentially set in motion by the confirmed head-and-shoulders pattern. In January 2025, we provided our 2025 Bitcoin outlook, calling for cautious Bitcoin bullishness when we identified the then-still-emerging Head-and-Shoulders reversal pattern. The support for this call is strong. Consider the following findings: Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has experienced three bear markets: 2013, 2017, and 2021 (Fig. 1: Areas marked in red). Each of Bitcoin's bear markets is first triggered by a bearish reversal pattern near the channel's upper bound, exactly 1 to 1.5 years after the halving event (Fig. 1). In 2013, a double top marked the beginning of the 1-year bear market (Fig. 2). In 2017, a head-and-shoulders marked the beginning of the 1-year bear market (Fig. 3). In 2021, both head-and-shoulders and double tops triggered a bear market that lasted 50% longer (1.5 years) than in the past (Fig. 4). Fig 1. Bitcoin's Majestic Decade-old Cycle Since 2012 (Author) Fig 2. A Head and Shoulders Pattern marked the beginning of Bitcoin's 2013 Bear Market. (Author) Fig 3. A Double Top marked the beginning of Bitcoin's 2017 Bear Market (Author) Fig 4. A double reversal pattern (Head-and-shoulders and Double Top) marked the beginning of a 1.5-year bear market in 2021. (Author) The risk of the emerging Head-and-Shoulders reversal pattern was 2-fold. Firstly, Bitcoin risked following through the reversal pattern and reversing back to $75,000 . Although Bitcoin did follow through and reached $75,000 (Fig. 5), it avoided a technical bear market by rebounding to $95,000 at the time of writing. However, this price action has significantly affected our bullish $200,000 Bitcoin ambition , which may have already set the bear market in motion. In the short term, the emerging bearish reversal pattern could see Bitcoin retracing back to $75,000, but the 3-year outlook will turn bearish if it breaks below $74,000. Secondly, Bitcoin has completed its minimum one-year bull market, during which it faced minimal resistance on the way up. Reasonable expectations are between now and October 2025, suggesting that headwinds will gradually increase until it officially enters the bear market phase of the current halving cycle. Our thesis suggests minimal Bitcoin headwind until April 2025, then gradual downward pressure through October 2025 before entering a bear market. Fig 5. Bitcoin's 2025 Head-and-shoulders reversal could potentially already mark the start of a bear market when compared to Bitcoin's 2021 bear market setup. (Author) In addition, we have now identified two new risks that are even more likely to trigger a Bitcoin bear market. The first newly identified risk is the resemblance of the current Bitcoin price action and Bitcoin's price action before the 2021 bear market. By referring to Fig. 6, we can see Bitcoin is tracking the bearish setup of its previous bear market: The same head-and-shoulders pattern occurred with the exact timing (1 year after the halving event) The same pattern of head and shoulders also occurred around the same resistance level. The reversal patterns were valid, and the price reversed, followed by a rebound higher. Following this narrative, we could see Bitcoin topping in July (or after 1.25 years from April 2024). This aligns with past cycles where a Bitcoin bull run typically lasts between 1 year (current minimum) and 1.5 years (current maximum). The second newly identified risk is a fundamental one. Although the Trump Administration was generally viewed as a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin (e.g., the Bitcoin Reserve and the public support for Bitcoin ), the US real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate, which IMHO trumps almost other forms of fundamental and economic indicators, came in bearish at negative 0.3% on a QoQ on an annual basis. Fig 6. The resemblance of 2025 Setup to the 2021 Bear Market Setup (Author) The Sequence of 5 Events We Expect to Unfold So, what should we expect if a bear market occurs? The sequence of 5 events we expect to unfold is as follows: Another reversal pattern near the current ATH. A 50% decline from the latest ATH. A dead cat bounce to reach 20% from the latest ATH Another decline to 70% away from the ATH. Bottoming out at 80%-85% away from the ATH. Tentatively, the resulting key levels are: ATH = $110,000 50% key level = $55,000 A dead cat bounce resistance = $88,000 30% key level (70% away from the ATH)= $33,000 Ultimately bottom = $16,500 The key levels represent the visible price range where Bitcoin is expected to bounce off, thus it'll be strategic to trade Bitcoin (e.g., dollar cost averaging) at these levels. This sequence of events is evident from Bitcoin's past three bear markets (Fig. 2, Fig. 3, Fig. 4) and is transparently documented throughout our Bitcoin coverage on Seeking Alpha. Furthermore, this is not a hindsight analysis. We first published the initial version back in May 2021, right at the peak of the 2020 bull run, and have since seen four (almost five) of the five events come to pass. Reversal pattern -> Double Top [ ✓ Nov 2021] 50% decline from peak -> Reach $34k [ ✓ Jan 2022] Rebound back to 20% from peak -> Reach $54k (Missed by 10%) [ ✓ September 2021] Another decline to 70% from peak -> Reach $21k[ ✓ June 2022] Bottom out at 85% from peak -> Reach $10.5k (missed by 5% - $15k) [ ✓ 10 November 2022] Since this model has helped us successfully navigate the Bitcoin market over the past four years, we'll continue to uphold it with credibility. That being said, there are always some differences in nuances over each cycle, which adds some level of uncertainty when investing in Bitcoin. The nuance of the current cycle is that Bitcoin might've invalidated the decade-old cycle by breaking above the $90,000 resistance level (the upper bound of the channel illustrated in Fig. 1). Although so, we believe this model can still hold given how Bitcoin is tracking its 2021 bear market setup. Conclusion Thanks to Bitcoin's success and several outstanding trades (such as our Bitfarms ( BITF ) play and CleanSpark ( CLSK ) play , our crypto portfolio now represents more than half of our total portfolio. Based on the findings presented in this article, we couldn't help but be very anxious about Bitcoin when we began to weigh its risk and potential. The last thing we want to see is our portfolio—the portfolio we've painstakingly accumulated since 2021, when prices were below $30,000—get wiped out in a Bitcoin bear market. We're following through on our suggested course of action back in May 2021 to dollar cost average into Bitcoin at three critical support levels, $30k, $20k, and $10k. Sometimes, it's wise to take all the chips off the table. That's why we're also looking to liquidate our Bitcoin portfolio over the coming months.