A recent report by digital assets research firm 10x Research highlights that the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) stance on interest rate cuts remains the most significant hurdle that could dampen the current Bitcoin (BTC) rally. Bitcoin’s Trump-Fuelled Rally At Risk Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Since pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump secured victory in the November presidential election, Bitcoin has climbed an impressive 47%, rising from approximately $67,500 on November 4 to around $99,700 as of January 6. Related Reading: Metaplanet Bitcoin Reserves Grow With Fresh $61 Million Purchase While further gains are anticipated during the so-called “Trump rally” leading up to the January 20 inauguration, the momentum might stall ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting later in January, says 10x Research’s Markus Thielen. Thielen predicts a “positive start” to January for BTC, followed by a slight dip before the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data release on January 15. A favorable CPI report could reignite optimism, potentially fueling another rally before Trump’s inauguration. However, Thielen cautions that bullish momentum may wane ahead of the FOMC meeting on January 29. Latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch tool shows that interest rates are likely to remain unchanged following the upcoming FOMC meeting. The tool currently predicts a 90.9% chance of interest rates remaining 425 and 450 basis points (BPS). Bitcoin’s decline of approximately 15% to $92,900 following the December 18 FOMC meeting underscores the Fed’s significant influence. This drop came after the Fed signaled only two rate cuts for 2025 instead of five, reinforcing Thielen’s view that the Fed’s decisions are the “primary risk” to BTC’s current bullish trajectory. Thielen stated: We anticipate lower inflation this year, though it may take some time for the Federal Reserve to recognize and respond to this shift formally. Thielen also cited institutional participation as a key factor influencing Bitcoin’s short-term price action, with metrics like stablecoin minting rates and crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows serving as indicators of institutional interest. Institutional Interest In Bitcoin Continues To Rise Although US spot Bitcoin ETFs faced significant outflows at the end of December, fresh inflows have sparked optimism about rising institutional interest in the premier cryptocurrency. Data from SoSoValue notes that spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $908 million in inflows on January 3. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Face ‘Demand Shocks’ In 2025 Due To Growing Institutional Interest: Report In addition, several major BTC mining firms such as MARA and Hut 8 are bolstering their BTC reserves. Technology firms such as Canada-based video-sharing platform Rumble also recently unveiled a $20 million BTC treasury strategy. A separate report by cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex predicts Bitcoin could surge to $200,000 by mid-2025, despite minor price pullbacks. At press time, BTC trades at $101,555, up 3.7% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from 10x Research, CME FedWatch and Tradingview.com
The FATF Travel Rule, now extended to bitcoin, requires KYC data sharing, raising concerns about privacy, financial freedom, and individual security.
COINOTAG News reports that the **Solana** virtual machine **SOON** made a significant announcement on January 7th, detailing an impressive response to the upcoming **COMMing SOON NFT** release. Within just 16
A return to markets after the holidays and anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration as U.S. president is building bullish sentiment for bitcoin and the broader crypto market. The asset is up 10% in the past week, retaking the $102,000 level late Monday and reversing nearly all losses from early December. It fell from a peak of nearly $109,000 on Dec.17 to a local low of just below $92,000 on Dec.30, which momentarily sparked fears of a deeper downturn. The surge comes as U.S.-listed spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) raked in $987 million on Monday, their highest since Nov.21, data from SoSoValue shows. Fidelity’s FBTC led inflows with $370 million pouring in, followed by BlackRock’s IBIT with $209 million and Ark Invest’s ARKB with $71 million. Nine of the twelve ETFs recorded inflows, with none showing outflows in a standout day for the cohort. Trump’s expected crypto policies and broader economic plans have brought back positive sentiment among traders — bumping up BTC prices in a usual precursor to an altcoin rally. “We believe that the demand for bitcoin is manifesting itself after a downbeat Fed outlook in late December put the brakes on a Santa Claus rally,” Jeff Mei, COO at crypto exchange BTSE, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message Tuesday. “Now that traders have wrapped up their vacations and are back to work, they've resumed purchases of Bitcoin, crypto, and stocks in a bullish trend as we approach Donald Trump's inauguration,” Mei added. Some traders are targeting the $109,000 level in the short term before a bullish trend is confirmed, setting the stage for even higher prices. “So far, the technical picture looks like a classic correction completion with a resumption of the growth from the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% of the rally since the beginning of November,” shared Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro chief market analyst, in an email. “This scenario will be confirmed if the historical highs of around $109,000 are confidently breached. At the same time, we expect Bitcoin's growth to accelerate after the $100,000 mark.” Fibonacci levels are a technical analysis tool to identify potential support and resistance points where price movements might pause or reverse. Some traders believe that tracking Fibonacci levels can offer predictive value in identifying key price levels — which may become a self-fulfilling prophecy that causes price reactions in the market. As such, market volatility is expected to stay low until the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, which some believe will kick-start the new trading year with “decision-makers fully back at work,” per Augustine Fan, head of insights at SOFA. Strong NFP data could strengthens the U.S. dollar, potentially leading to higher interest rates, which can negatively affect risk assets like stocks and bitcoin. “However, the highest volatility event for the month is priced to be FOMC at the end of the month as the economic stats are priced to show 'soft landing' signs soon,” Fan added. BTC trades just above $101,600 in Asian morning hours Tuesday, up 2% in the past 24 hours. The broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20) , a liquid index tracking the largest tokens by market cap is up 0.53%.
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Donald Trump says he and Xi Jinping could be best friends. “We’ve already been talking, ” he to ld conservati ve talk show host Hugh Hewitt, sounding al most like he was planning a bromance. But then he pulled a classic Trump move, accusing China of “ripping off” the United States. It’s the same tune he’s been singing since 2018 when he started what might go down as one of the most aggressive economic standoffs in modern history. But then Trump also called Xi “strong” and “powerful,” adding that he’s “revered in China.” Flattery, maybe. But this isn’t just about who gets along. It’s about two of the biggest economies in the world. How it started: Tariffs, deals, and broken promises The US-China trade war has been years in the making, starting when Trump hit China with tariffs on $34 billion worth of goods the last time he was in office. He accused Beijing of intellectual property theft and unfair trade practices. China retaliated almost instantly, matching the US tariffs dollar for dollar. And just like that, a trade war was on. The two sides escalated quickly. By 2019, the US had tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese imports. China targeted $110 billion in US goods. But it wasn’t all fire and fury. In January 2020, both countries hit pause—kind of. They signed the Phase One trade deal, which was supposed to ease tensions. And it sounded like a win on paper. China promised to buy $200 billion more in American goods, and the US agreed to lower tariffs on $120 billion worth of Chinese imports. But there was a catch. Tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods stayed. Spoiler alert—those numbers didn’t stick, and the underlying issues never got fixed. Fast forward to the Biden administration. If anyone thought Joe Biden would go soft on China, they were wrong. In fact, that guy doubled down. His administration kept the Trump-era tariffs and added new ones on strategic sectors like electric vehicles and medical supplies. By December 2021, tariffs on over $300 billion worth of Chinese goods were still alive and kicking. What’s happening now: Trump’s back, and so is the tension Then came 2024. A new round of tariffs hit $18 billion in Chinese imports. Clean energy and semiconductors, two areas critical to US interests, were the main targets. Now, it’s January 2025, and Trump is less than 2 weeks away from being back in the Oval Office. During his campaign, he promised tariffs as high as 60% on Chinese goods. He also made it clear that Chinese investments in the US would face increased scrutiny. Though just days into the new year, Beijing announced export restrictions on 28 US companies. Big names like Lockheed Martin and Boeing Defense are on that list. Economists have been warning us for months. If Trump’s proposed tariffs become reality, the US could see inflation rise even higher. Supply chains, still fragile from years of disruptions, might buckle under the pressure, putting the entire global economy is in danger. A Step-By-Step System To Launching Your Web3 Career and Landing High-Paying Crypto Jobs in 90 Days.
Binance to support aelf network upgrade, temporarily halting deposits and withdrawals on Jan. 15, 2025. In anticipation of a network update, Binance has announced that it will temporarily suspend token deposits and withdrawals on the aelf ( ELF ) network on Jan. 15, 2025, at 17:00 (UTC+8). The purpose of this planned update is to enhance the overall user experience on the ELF blockchain. The upgrade is scheduled to occur at block height 252,256,057, and the process is expected to commence at approximately 18:00 UTC+8 on the same day. Block height refers to the position of a specific block within the blockchain, and the network upgrade will occur once the blockchain reaches this point. You might also like: Binance will support DASH network upgrade and hard fork Users will still be able to trade ELF tokens normally on the Binance platform during the network upgrade. However, deposit and withdrawal services will be temporarily unavailable while the upgrade is in progress. To avoid any potential interruptions, Binance strongly advises users to deposit their ELF tokens in advance. Once the upgrade is complete and the network is stable, deposits and withdrawals will resume automatically without further notice. ELF is a decentralized blockchain for cloud computing that aims to provide a scalable ecosystem. Its primary goal is to create a flexible blockchain capable of supporting various industries and applications. At the time of writing, ELF is priced at $0.5016 with a market valuation of $369.18 million. The token’s $28.57 million in trading volume demonstrates a 34.36% drop in the past 24 hours. Token upgrades refer to modifications made to a blockchain network’s core protocol or structure to improve its usability, security, or overall functionality. In this case, it is expected that the ELF network upgrade is expected to boost both performance and scalability, which are essential for the continued growth and success of the ecosystem. Throughout 2024, Binance has actively supported network upgrades for several prominent tokens. In April 2024, Binance supported the Ethereum ( ETH ) Shanghai upgrade, a critical step in ETH’s transition to a more scalable and sustainable network, which allowed staked ETH to be withdrawn. Binance also supported the Dash network upgrade and hard fork , which took place on January 7, 2025. This upgrade aimed to enhance the network’s security and performance. Additionally, Binance has announced its support for the Optimism network update, scheduled for January 10, 2025, which focuses on improving scalability and efficiency within the Optimism ecosystem. You might also like: Binance to support Optimism network upgrade and hard fork As part of its ongoing commitment to enhancing the blockchain ecosystem and providing users with the best possible experience, Binance is dedicated to ensuring smooth transitions during these upgrades. For more information about the ELF token upgrade, please refer to the official project announcement .
Binance to support aelf network upgrade, temporarily halting deposits and withdrawals on Jan. 15, 2025. In anticipation of a network update, Binance has announced that it will temporarily suspend token deposits and withdrawals on the aelf (ELF) network on Jan.…
Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency by market value, surged 121% last year to cross the six-figure mark, outshining traditional assets. However, this performance falls short in comparison to Pythagoras Investment Management’s Alpha Long Biased Strategy, which pushed the envelope even further. The fund, which combines a BTC base position with two uncorrelated strategies, achieved an impressive return of 204% in 2024, Pythagoras said in an email to CoinDesk. That equates to a 3x gain, significantly outpacing the 2x return a typical buy-and-hold bitcoin investor would have realized. The fund charges incentive fee only when it beats bitcoin's performance. The fund's base position in bitcoin provides direct exposure to long-term appreciation, and the two uncorrelated strategies – a momentum market timing strategy and a long-short market selection strategy – generate alpha. The momentum strategy employs machine learning and pattern recognition to adjust and optimize exposure dynamically, allowing it to capture short-term market fluctuations. Meanwhile, the long-short strategy utilizes a proprietary AI-based forecasting model to create a dollar-neutral portfolio, making long investments in tokens expected to yield superior returns while shorting those anticipated to underperform. The allocation to the three components is calibrated to maximize returns relative to bitcoin. Despite its performance, the Alpha Long Biased Strategy was Pythagoras' smallest fund, boasting assets under management (AUM) of $7 million. It suffered a 2% drawdown in December as the year-end saw BTC climb down from record highs above $108,000 to $93,000. Meanwhile, Pythagoras' Arbitrage strategy delivered a 3% return in December, ending the year with an 18% gain and $45 million in AUM. The Quant Long Short Fund generated a return of 30% in 2024, with $23 million in AUM and the Absolute Return Strategy generated a 41.7% return, gathering $158 million in client funds. Pythagoras said that the top asset gatherer of 2024 will be closed for new investors from Feb. 1. The combined AUM of the four funds grew to over $230 million from $80 million in 2023 as the bull market revved up investor confidence. Bullish outlook Pythagoras expects the bull market to continue this year, driven by positive regulatory developments in the U.S. and corporate sovereign demand for bitcoin. "The incoming Trump administration, with its proposal on creating a national strategic Bitcoin reserve and appointing individuals favorable to our industry in key Executive Branch positions, is expected to be a major catalyst. With over 290 members of Congress who are pro-crypto, we anticipate that supportive legislation for the cryptocurrency industry will gain momentum," Mitchell Dong, CEO of Pythagoras, said in a note to CoinDesk. "As the U.S. Congress explores the idea of a national strategic Bitcoin reserve, we expect some countries to attempt to front-run the U.S. in accumulating Bitcoin, should this initiative come to fruition," Dong added, mentioning the possibility of listed companies following MicroStrategy's lead in adopting BTC.