Could Strategy (MSTR) use Bitcoin-fueled earnings to enter the S&P 500 and turn Bitcoin into a backdoor index asset? Table of Contents MSTR’s S&P 500 eligibility now hinges on Bitcoin stability Why Bitcoin’s history favors Strategy’s odds New rules changed the game, but Q1 timing was off If MSTR joins, Bitcoin quietly enters the S&P MSTR’s S&P 500 eligibility now hinges on Bitcoin stability Michael Saylor ’s corporate bet on Bitcoin ( BTC ) may be approaching a new milestone. If Bitcoin holds its current price level, Strategy (MSTR), formerly known as MicroStrategy, could soon meet the eligibility criteria for inclusion in the S&P 500 index. The potential inclusion depends on a specific financial threshold tied to reported earnings. According to financial analyst Jeff Walton, the probability of Strategy meeting that requirement now stands at 91%. 91% chance of $MSTR qualifying for S&P in 6 days https://t.co/uGkzAuTQ2Y — Jeff Walton (@PunterJeff) June 24, 2025 Walton estimates that Bitcoin would need to fall below $95,240 before the end of June to push Strategy’s Q2 earnings below the qualifying line. Based on current pricing, that would require a drop of more than 10% within a matter of days. As of Jun. 23, the company holds 592,345 bitcoins at an average acquisition cost of $70,666, with a total outlay of approximately $41.84 billion. With Bitcoin trading at $107,213 on Jun. 25, the value of the company’s crypto holdings exceeds $63.5 billion. These unrealized gains play a direct role in Strategy’s reported earnings, which are the final factor under review for S&P 500 inclusion. Why Bitcoin’s history favors Strategy’s odds Walton arrived at the 91% probability by analyzing Bitcoin’s historical price behavior across 3,928 rolling six-day trading windows between September 2014 and June 2025. “Going back to September 17, 2014, over any six-day period, the price of Bitcoin has dropped more than 10% only 343 times,” Walton said in a recent broadcast. “There have been 3,585 periods where it hasn’t dropped more than 10%. So 8.7% of those periods saw that kind of decline.” Based on that breakdown, the chance of Bitcoin remaining above the threshold needed for Strategy’s Q2 earnings to qualify is roughly 91.3%. To validate the number against recent conditions, Walton filtered the same six-day windows starting from the launch of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which he sees as a structural turning point in the market. Since the introduction of IBIT, Bitcoin has avoided a 10% or greater drop in 96.6% of all comparable periods, suggesting that in a more mature environment shaped by institutional involvement and ETF flows, sharp declines have become less frequent. Time is also a factor. With each passing day, the quarter’s end approaches, and the window for a large short-term drop narrows further. According to Walton, even if Bitcoin were to decline to $104,000 instead of $95,000, the required percentage drop would shrink to 8.42%. That would raise the risk modestly but still keep it well within historically favorable territory. If Bitcoin remains range-bound or climbs further, the likelihood of Strategy meeting the S&P earnings threshold continues to rise. Other requirements for index inclusion are already in place. Strategy’s market cap now exceeds $21 billion, and its average daily trading volume is well above the minimum needed for S&P 500 eligibility. That leaves net income as the only unresolved criterion. With just a few trading days remaining in the quarter, the numbers appear to lean clearly in Strategy’s favor. New rules changed the game, but Q1 timing was off Strategy’s path toward S&P 500 inclusion did not begin in Q2. The company was already in contention during the first quarter of 2025, having satisfied most structural requirements, including market capitalization, liquidity, and listing standards. One condition, however, remained unresolved: net profitability over the trailing twelve months. To meet that standard, the company needed Q1 earnings strong enough to offset earlier losses and deliver a positive cumulative figure across four quarters. The turning point came with the adoption of a revised accounting rule issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board. Under the new standard, companies holding digital assets must recognize them at fair market value, allowing unrealized gains to contribute directly to reported net income. The previous method only captured impairments, excluding any upside from price increases. For firms like Strategy, with large bitcoin holdings, the change significantly altered how market performance translated into earnings. Despite the rule’s introduction, timing remained critical. Bitcoin’s closing price at the end of the quarter ultimately determined whether Strategy could clear the profitability bar. Analyst Richard Hass estimated that the company required $1.113 billion in Q1 net income to meet the S&P earnings condition. That figure would have been achievable only if bitcoin closed above $96,337 on Mar. 31, based on Strategy’s then-total of 478,740 BTC. ⭕️ $MSTR 'Strategy' FASB / S&P500 Inclusion Update 🧐 TLDR: PER 24Q4 EARNINGS, STRATEGY IS ELIGIBLE FOR SPX IF BTC IS >$96,374 ON MARCH 31, 2025 WITHOUT ACQUIRING ANY MORE BITCOIN. —————————- ✅The Facts: Post 24Q4 Earnings we can now calculate the… https://t.co/4LJYbY3loz pic.twitter.com/pJInv95eSY — Richard Haas (@RichardAHaas) February 6, 2025 However, Bitcoin closed the quarter at $82,548, falling short of the mark. Hence, the fair value rule did improve reported earnings and the final price left a sizable gap between valuation and the level needed to offset previous losses. Strategy had reported a $671 million net loss in Q4 2024, primarily due to the old accounting rule that marked bitcoin down to below $16,000 per coin, even though it ended the year trading above $94,000. That discrepancy left the company with a steep earnings deficit heading into Q1, and the new rule, while helpful, was not enough to overcome it. If MSTR joins, Bitcoin quietly enters the S&P If Strategy enters the S&P 500, MSTR would become a vehicle for bringing Bitcoin into mainstream equity portfolios without needing any formal crypto approval. The company would then be evaluated not only as a proxy for Bitcoin exposure but also as a listed firm expected to meet broader financial and governance standards. Around $15.6 trillion in global assets are benchmarked to the S&P 500, with approximately $7.1 trillion held in index funds that replicate its composition. Once Strategy qualifies, these funds would be required to allocate a portion of their capital to MSTR shares. That mechanism creates an indirect but significant channel through which traditional asset managers, many of whom are restricted from holding Bitcoin itself, gain price exposure through equity ownership. Even a 0.01% allocation across S&P-linked assets would translate into more than $1.5 billion in fresh demand for MSTR stock. The effect on Bitcoin would be slower but meaningful. If MSTR becomes a core holding across major equity funds, Bitcoin’s alignment with traditional asset classes could strengthen. As of Jun. 25, Strategy holds roughly 2.8% of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply. Any increase in MSTR demand driven by index buying would reinforce Bitcoin’s role as a macro-linked asset, responding not only to crypto cycles but also to broader movements in equity markets. It would also reshape how Strategy is viewed. Since its strategic pivot in 2020, the company has traded more like a Bitcoin ETF than a legacy software business. S&P 500 inclusion, however, would place Strategy in a peer group defined by consistent revenues, dividend payouts, and sector-specific exposures. That new positioning would raise expectations around financial reporting, operational stability, and corporate discipline. It would also bring more frequent index reviews and potential weighting adjustments, especially if volatility remains elevated. A useful comparison is Tesla ’s S&P 500 entry in December 2020. The company attracted over $80 billion in flows as passive and active managers adjusted their positions. Its correlation with the broader market rose sharply in the months that followed. While Strategy’s market cap is much smaller, its high beta to Bitcoin could make it a functional bridge between digital assets and legacy capital markets. That bridge may prove more important as crypto edges closer to regulatory clarity and standardized accounting treatment. If MSTR joins the index, Bitcoin effectively enters with it. That alters who holds exposure, how it is classified, and where it fits within the larger financial system.
The largest US bank, JPMorgan Chase, reportedly says one regional stock sector may soar as much as 20% before the year’s end. In a new Bloomberg report, JPMorgan Chase says Asian technology stocks may put up between 15% and 20% gains during the remainder of 2025, largely due to artificial intelligence (AI). Say JPMorgan Chase analysts, “AI will continue to lead this upcycle on the growth in datacenter capex (capital expenditures) in 2025 and more confidence in 2026 growth. We are not advising any meaningful rotation away from AI stocks in the next three months.” One metric indicating significant AI demand in the region is the Bloomberg Asia Pacific Semiconductors Index, a gauge of semiconductor companies in the Asia Pacific region, which has risen over 12% this year. The semiconductor index outperformed Bloomberg’s MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index, an Asian equity gauge. JPMorgan’s analysts predict that shares of the region’s largest chipmakers, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., SK Hynix Inc., Advantest Corp and Delta Electronics Inc., will continue to increase for at least the next 12 months and company earnings will continue to see upward revisions. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts are leaning bearish on non-AI stocks, including manufacturers of personal computers, smartphones and consumer devices, predicting these companies may see further downward earnings revisions due to the fading impact of China consumption subsidies. Follow us on X , Facebook and Telegram Don't Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox Check Price Action Surf The Daily Hodl Mix Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing. Generated Image: Midjourney The post JPMorgan Chase Says This Stock Sector Will Rally 15–20% This Year Driven by Artificial Intelligence: Report appeared first on The Daily Hodl .
BitcoinWorld Web3 Security: GoPlus Unveils Crucial Clarification on Venus Protocol $2M Theft The world of cryptocurrency is often a whirlwind of innovation, opportunity, and unfortunately, occasional security incidents. When news breaks of a potential exploit, the community holds its breath. Recently, the Web3 Security project GoPlus made headlines with a claim about a significant theft, initially suggesting a link to the popular decentralized lending platform, Venus Protocol. However, in a crucial update, GoPlus has now walked back that assertion, providing a clearer, albeit still evolving, picture of the incident. This development underscores the dynamic and often complex nature of security in the decentralized space, highlighting why robust security measures and accurate reporting are paramount. What Was the Initial Alarm and GoPlus’s Crucial Update? The initial report from GoPlus, shared widely on X (formerly Twitter), indicated a substantial $2 million theft, with an early implication that Venus Protocol’s contract might have been directly targeted. This immediately raised concerns across the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem, given Venus Protocol’s prominence on the BNB Chain. However, swift clarification followed. GoPlus later updated its stance, stating unequivocally that while a significant amount of vTokens – the yield-bearing tokens representing deposits on platforms like Venus – were indeed part of the stolen assets, there is “no current evidence linking the affected contract to Venus Protocol.” The original post alleging the direct attack has since been removed, a testament to the commitment to accuracy in the face of rapidly unfolding events. This walk-back from GoPlus Security emphasizes several key points: Initial Assessment vs. Detailed Analysis: Early reports in the fast-paced crypto space can be based on preliminary data. Comprehensive analysis often reveals nuances. Commitment to Accuracy: GoPlus’s decision to retract and clarify demonstrates a dedication to providing precise information, even if it means correcting prior statements. Ongoing Investigation: The security firm has promised a detailed analysis report soon, which will hopefully shed more light on the true nature of the exploit and the specific vulnerabilities leveraged. Unpacking the $2 Million Crypto Exploit: Was Venus Protocol Involved? The core of the confusion revolved around the presence of vTokens among the stolen funds. vTokens, such as vUSDT, are integral to the functioning of lending protocols like Venus. When users deposit assets like USDT into Venus Protocol , they receive vUSDT in return, which represents their share of the pool and accrues interest. The fact that these tokens were stolen naturally led to an initial assumption of a direct attack on the protocol itself. However, GoPlus’s clarification suggests that while vTokens were stolen, the point of compromise might have been external to the Venus Protocol smart contracts. This could imply: User-Side Compromise: Individual user wallets holding vTokens might have been targeted through phishing, private key compromise, or other personal security breaches. Third-Party Integration Vulnerability: A different smart contract or service that interacted with Venus Protocol (and thus held vTokens) could have been the actual exploit vector. Front-End Attack: A vulnerability in a user interface or web application rather than the underlying protocol logic. Understanding the exact vector of this Crypto Exploit is crucial for preventing future incidents and for ensuring the integrity of the broader DeFi ecosystem. Why is Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Security So Challenging? The incident, regardless of the ultimate culprit, serves as a stark reminder of the inherent complexities and challenges in securing Decentralized Finance (DeFi) . Unlike traditional finance, DeFi operates on immutable smart contracts, often with open-source code, and relies on user self-custody. This brings both immense power and significant responsibility. Key challenges include: Smart Contract Risk: Bugs or vulnerabilities in the code can be exploited, leading to irreversible loss of funds. Audits are essential but not foolproof. Interoperability Risks: DeFi protocols often interact with each other, creating complex dependencies where a vulnerability in one protocol can cascade to others. Oracle Manipulation: Exploiting price feeds to gain an unfair advantage. Flash Loan Attacks: Using uncollateralized loans to manipulate markets and drain funds, often combined with other vulnerabilities. User Education: The responsibility of securing private keys and understanding complex transactions largely falls on the individual user. The Intricacies of Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) and Permission Management The initial GoPlus report had also hinted at a connection to “maximal extractable value (MEV) exploitation and permission management vulnerabilities.” While the direct link to Venus Protocol was retracted, these concepts remain critical in the Web3 Security landscape. Maximal Extractable Value (MEV): This refers to the profit that can be extracted by block producers (miners or validators) by including, excluding, or reordering transactions within a block. MEV can manifest in various forms, including arbitrage, liquidations, and front-running. While not inherently malicious, some MEV strategies can resemble exploitation if they leverage specific protocol design flaws or user mistakes. Permission Management Vulnerabilities: These relate to flaws in how access rights are granted, revoked, and managed within a smart contract or a decentralized application. If permissions are poorly configured, an attacker might gain unauthorized control over funds, administrative functions, or critical protocol parameters. This is a common vector for various types of exploits across different blockchain applications. Understanding these sophisticated attack vectors is vital for projects aiming to build truly secure and resilient systems in the blockchain space. Navigating the Future of Web3 Security: What Can We Learn? This incident, like many before it, underscores the ongoing need for vigilance and collaboration within the Web3 ecosystem. For users, it’s a reminder to: Verify Information: Always cross-reference news, especially concerning exploits, with multiple reputable sources and official project announcements. Practice Self-Custody Best Practices: Secure your private keys, use hardware wallets, and be wary of phishing attempts. Understand Risks: Before interacting with any Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocol, understand its mechanisms and inherent risks. For projects and security firms, the lessons are equally clear: Thorough Audits: Regular and comprehensive smart contract audits are non-negotiable. Incident Response Plans: Have clear protocols for communication and action in case of a security breach or suspected vulnerability. Continuous Monitoring: Implement robust monitoring tools to detect anomalous activities in real-time. Community Collaboration: Work closely with security researchers, whitehat hackers, and other projects to share intelligence and best practices. The path to truly secure decentralized finance is an iterative one, built on transparency, continuous improvement, and a collective commitment to protecting user assets. In conclusion, while the initial alarm bells rang loud regarding a direct Venus Protocol exploit, GoPlus’s swift clarification has brought a more nuanced perspective to the $2 million theft. This incident highlights the dynamic nature of Web3 Security , the ongoing challenges within Decentralized Finance (DeFi) , and the critical importance of accurate, timely reporting from entities like GoPlus Security . As the crypto space continues to evolve, so too must our understanding and approach to its inherent security complexities. Vigilance, verification, and robust security practices remain our strongest defense against the ever-present threat of a Crypto Exploit . To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping DeFi security and institutional adoption. This post Web3 Security: GoPlus Unveils Crucial Clarification on Venus Protocol $2M Theft first appeared on BitcoinWorld and is written by Editorial Team
Bitcoin’s price has increased by 2.8% throughout the past 24 hours and briefly touched $108,000. The move has caused around $210 million worth of liquidated long and short positions across the derivatives markets, according to data from CoinGlass. The cryptocurrency has since retraced and currently trades at around $107,600. Source: TradingView The recent price action comes amid several statements made by the US President Donald Trump, who said that he thinks the war between Iran and Israel is over and that “Iran has a huge advantage, I don’t see them getting back involved in nuclear.” Morever, Trump also spoke of Russia and the situation in Ukraine. He said that they didn’t discuss a ceasefire with President Zelensky, while also saying that he considers Russian President Putin to be “misguided.” Furthermore, he also outlined that he will be talking with Iranian leadership next week and that they “may sign an agreeme and would ask for no nuclear.” The market remains very volatile, at the time of this writing. The post Bitcoin Price Taps $108,000 as Donald Trump Addresses Iran-Israel Situation appeared first on CryptoPotato .
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only. Neo Pepe tops 2025 memecoins, raising $2m by Stage 4 as presale momentum and investor buzz hit new highs. Table of Contents Stage 3 rapid sellout signals strong market trust in Neo Pepe Coin Accelerated presale progress ignites Neo Pepe’s outlook for 2025 How NEOP stands out as the year’s top memecoin contender Why investors are buzzing about this presale’s unique structure Ready to join crypto’s meme rebellion? Neo Pepe has officially cemented its status as the best Pepe coin and the most promising memecoin of 2025, after successfully completing Stage 3 of its presale in just three remarkable days. The presale has now soared into Stage 4, with a token price set at $0.083153 and over $2 million already raised, evidence of surging investor enthusiasm rarely witnessed in the memecoin arena. What began as a crypto rebellion wrapped in meme culture is quickly becoming a serious contender with genuine long-term potential. Unlike fleeting meme trends, Neo Pepe masterfully combines cultural relevance with a fully decentralized structure, making it not only the top Pepe coin but also one of the best crypto presales available today. As community traction accelerates and leaderboard competition intensifies, all eyes are now fixed eagerly on Stage 4. If current momentum holds steady, Neo Pepe could soon emerge not just as another viral meme but as a transformative force in decentralized crypto governance. Interested investors might want to get a little Neo Pepe before it’s too late. You might also like: PEPE falters, Neo Pepe Coin sets new presale benchmark with DAO and gamified ecosystem Stage 3 rapid sellout signals strong market trust in Neo Pepe Coin The swift Stage 3 sellout has significantly bolstered investor confidence in NEOP’s future prospects. This rapid achievement highlights that Neo Pepe’s impressive traction stems from strong grassroots support, rather than traditional influencers or superficial marketing stunts. Transparent presale mechanics and community-driven oversight have genuinely fostered this confidence. Unlike most memecoins, Neo Pepe’s structured presale and robust governance model establish undeniable market credibility. With each stage offering a set token price and a clearly defined supply cap, each sellout reflects genuine market demand. The swift closure of Stage 3 clearly indicates that Neo Pepe’s growing trend is anything but ephemeral. Accelerated presale progress ignites Neo Pepe’s outlook for 2025 Neo Pepe’s rapid presale progression isn’t merely an impressive metric — it’s shaping the narrative for what could be one of the most significant crypto breakouts of 2025. As Stage 4 heats up with even more investor interest, analysts predict a substantial potential upside. Additionally, the project’s weekly leaderboard resets and engaging presale gamification elements keep community members actively involved, maintaining momentum. Unlike static launches, Neo Pepe’s presale framework fosters continuous interaction and sustained demand at each pricing tier. This dynamic model receives praise for effectively balancing meme appeal with lasting incentives for community engagement, creating a loyal base even before NEOP hits mainstream exchanges. How NEOP stands out as the year’s top memecoin contender Amid an oversaturated market of frog-themed tokens and memecoin imitators, Neo Pepe distinguishes itself through unique architecture and strategic execution. Community buzz across crypto forums and Telegram channels positions Neo Pepe as the standout contender set to redefine meme coins in 2025. A standout feature is Neo Pepe’s fully autonomous DAO governance model, powered by the NEOPGovernor smart contract. Token holders control every aspect, from proposals and voting to execution, eliminating centralized control and enhancing transparency. Verified governance contracts and open mechanics further solidify Neo Pepe’s status as a serious project with meme roots but significant practical potential. Catch Token Galaxy’s fresh analysis of the Neo Pepe presale, where they reveal why investors are excited and why this is the coin to watch. Why investors are buzzing about this presale’s unique structure Investors are flocking to Neo Pepe, not just for potential profitability but for active participation. Neo Pepe offers: Capped Supply: Ensures token scarcity and exclusivity. Timed Vesting: Post-launch token unlocks help stabilize market dynamics. Secure Governance: Transparent, on-chain voting and proposal mechanisms. Locked Liquidity: Prevents pump-and-dump scenarios through liquidity locking and LP token burns. No Developer Holdings: Reinforces community-first ethos by excluding developer-controlled tokens. With real-time transparency and high-velocity fundraising, Neo Pepe sets a new standard as the blueprint for launching memecoins with integrity and genuine momentum. Get a little Neo Pepe now to secure a place in what’s shaping up to be one of the best crypto presales of 2025. Ready to join crypto’s meme rebellion? Don’t miss the chance to be part of the best Pepe Coin movement redefining meme culture and decentralized governance. Secure tokens today and actively participate in shaping the future of crypto. To learn more about Neo Pepe, visit the official website and connect via Telegram and Twitter . Read more: Chainlink approaches key resistance, Neo Pepe Coin triggers massive presale frenzy Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. crypto.news does not endorse any product mentioned on this page. Users must do their own research before taking any actions related to the company.
Bitcoin executed a textbook liquidity grab at the $108,000 level, signaling renewed bullish momentum as traders anticipate a potential rally toward all-time highs. The recent price action reflects a strategic
Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have defied mounting geopolitical tensions and Federal Reserve uncertainty by recording their eleventh consecutive day of positive inflows, attracting $588.55 million in fresh capital as of June 24, according to SosoValue data . Source: SosoValue BlackRock’s IBIT dominated the session with $436.32 million in inflows, showing institutional confidence in Bitcoin despite the cryptocurrency trading around $107,000 after recent volatility. It briefly touched $111,917 earlier this year before retreating amid escalating Middle East tensions. The sustained ETF momentum comes as Bitcoin maintains its crucial psychological support above $100,000, a level it has defended since early May. Source: TradingView Institutional players like Strategy continue aggressive accumulation strategies. On June 16, Strategy purchased 10,100 additional coins for $1.05 billion , bringing its total holdings now close to 600,000 Bitcoin. The eleven-day streak represents the ninth consecutive week of positive flows for digital asset investment products, contributing to a year-to-date total of $13.2 billion despite broader market concerns over the Israel-Iran conflict. Bitcoin ETFs: Institutional Capital Defies Geopolitical Storm While Bitcoin initially sold off alongside global equities when Israel launched late-night airstrikes against Iran , with Tehran responding in kind, the digital asset’s recovery above $100,000, coupled with sustained ETF demand, suggests institutions are increasingly treating Bitcoin as a portfolio diversifier rather than a risk-on speculation. YouHodler’s head of risk, Sergei Gorev, recently noted that while gold initially captured safe-haven flows, Bitcoin’s recovery indicates markets don’t “firmly believe in the active development of the Iran-Israel conflict phase,” with declining dollar strength benefiting both precious metals and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has managed to stay above $100,000 since early May — but will the Israel-Iran conflict put this winning streak in danger? #Crypto #Markets https://t.co/XwNZGNRee7 — Cryptonews.com (@cryptonews) June 16, 2025 Institutional resilience becomes even more pronounced considering President Trump’s aggressive campaign against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He branded him a “numbskull” and demanded immediate rate cuts that could save the United States $300 billion annually. However, the continuous ETF inflows suggest institutions are positioning for potential monetary easing while simultaneously hedging against currency debasement. Recent Producer Price Index data strengthen arguments for rate cuts later this year. Metaplanet raised over $517M on day one of its “555 Million Plan,” signaling strong early backing for its bold Bitcoin accumulation strategy. #Metaplanet #BTC https://t.co/NJ87Y5eP22 — Cryptonews.com (@cryptonews) June 25, 2025 Corporate adoption continues to accelerate despite macro uncertainties. Anthony Pompliano’s ProCap BTC acquired 3,724 Bitcoin for $386 million as part of plans to go public through an SPAC merger, while Japan’s Metaplanet raised $517.8 million on the first day of its ambitious “555 Million Plan,” which targets 210,000 Bitcoin by 2027. These developments, combined with Norway’s Green Minerals’ plan to purchase $1.2 billion in Bitcoin and Trump Media’s $2.3 billion treasury strategy , demonstrate that institutional conviction transcends short-term volatility. Technical Breakout Signals Point to $112K Target Bitcoin’s current technical structure reveals a compelling setup that aligns perfectly with the sustained ETF inflow momentum, with multiple timeframes suggesting an imminent breakout toward new cycle highs. The 3-hour chart displays Bitcoin trapped within a descending wedge pattern, with critical resistance at “The Edge” formation around $109,000, coinciding with recent highs near $111,917. At the same time, support around $99,000 has been successfully defended multiple times. Source: MJElahifx from TradingView The exponential moving averages show the 15-period EMA at $105,459 positioned above the 60-period EMA at $104,425, indicating short-term momentum building upward despite broader consolidation. Notably, the monthly chart, as shown by analyst MerlijnTheTrader, provides extraordinary insight into Bitcoin’s cyclical behavior. It reveals a consistent pattern of three-year bull runs followed by one-year corrections that has repeated with remarkable precision. BITCOIN’S FINAL ACT IS HERE 3 years up. 1 year down. Repeat. Every $BTC cycle follows this rhythm. This time is no different. The final parabolic phase is loading. Don’t blink. This phase rewrites portfolios. pic.twitter.com/GB7RAXRLm5 — Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) June 25, 2025 Currently in its three-year expansion phase, which began in 2022 and is projected through 2025, Bitcoin appears positioned for significant upside potential. Momentum indicators are approaching but not yet reaching the extreme overbought levels that historically marked cycle tops. This cyclical analysis suggests any near-term weakness represents consolidation within the broader advance, with ultimate targets potentially reaching $150,000 – 200,000 based on historical precedent. The comparative analysis of Bitcoin’s 2020 and 2025 cycles reveals striking similarities in price action and momentum characteristics. Both cycles exhibited comparable consolidation patterns before experiencing major advances. Buying $BTC now is like buying BTC at $20K in 2020. I'm not saying that BTC will pull a 3x, but there will be a similar parabolic move. In 2020-21 cycle, BTC pumped 3x in just 3 months. This time, I'm expecting 50%-80% move within 3-4 months before a blow-off top. Make no… pic.twitter.com/xYd5tcFgXn — Cas Abbé (@cas_abbe) June 25, 2025 The MACD indicators show both cycles experiencing deep negative divergences during consolidation phases before generating powerful bullish momentum. The 2025 cycle appeared at a similar inflection point that preceded the 2020 parabolic advance to $42,000. Source: TehThomas from TradingView The 4-hour chart identifies successful gap fills and Fair Value Gap testing around $102,500-103,000, with an “unmitigated fair value gap” in the upper resistance zone. A break above $107,000-108,000 could trigger algorithmic buying toward previous highs near $111,917, perfectly positioning Bitcoin to capitalize on the institutional inflow, regulatory clarity from Japan’s proposed crypto tax reforms , and continued corporate treasury adoption . The post US Bitcoin ETFs Hit 11-Day Inflow Streak with $588M Led by BlackRock Despite Macro Fears – Can $107K Push to $112K ATH? appeared first on Cryptonews .
Barclays Bank, one of the UK’s largest and most established financial institutions, announced that it will block all cryptocurrency-related transactions made using its bank cards, including Barclaycard credit cards, starting 27 June 2025. The decision comes during growing concerns about the financial risks posed by the highly volatile nature of digital currencies. Bank Cites Lack of Consumer Protections In a statement posted to its website, Barclays explains the rationale behind the move. “From 27 June 2025, we’ll block crypto-transactions made with a Barclaycard because we recognise there are certain risks with purchasing crypto-currencies,” the bank said. “A fall in the price of crypto assets could lead to customers finding themselves in debt they can’t afford to repay.” The bank also points out the lack of regulatory protections associated with crypto purchases. Because digital currencies are not covered by the Financial Ombudsman Service or the Financial Services Compensation Scheme, customers have limited recourse if something goes wrong with a transaction. This absence of safeguards, combined with price volatility, poses a huge risk for consumers who may use credit to invest in or purchase crypto assets. Financial Institutions Distance Themselves from Crypto Barclays’ decision aligns with a cautious stance increasingly adopted by traditional financial institutions and regulators worldwide. While cryptocurrency adoption has grown, so too have concerns about scams, price manipulation, and consumer harm. In the UK, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has repeatedly warned consumers about the dangers of investing in unregulated crypto markets. In its notice, Barclays directed customers to the FCA’s website for more information, encouraging them to search for “crypto the basics” to understand the risks involved. This move by Barclays follows similar steps taken by other UK banks in recent years, as they seek to limit consumer exposure to speculative digital assets. It also signals a broader trend of traditional financial institutions drawing clearer boundaries around the use of credit and banking services for cryptocurrency activities. While some crypto advocates may see such restrictions as heavy-handed, Barclays maintains that the decision is in the best interest of its customers’ financial well-being. UK Wants Banks to Have Less Exposure to Crypto Earlier this month, the Bank of England (BOE) said it is considering a proposal that would restrict UK banks’ exposure to crypto by 2026. Speaking at the Risk Live Europe event in London on Wednesday, the central bank executive director, David Bailey, noted that the UK’s upcoming rules would be more on the “restrictive end.” He specified that banks would be encouraged to keep a low crypto exposure. “There are also examples where it might be more appropriate to start more towards the restrictive end of the spectrum,” he said. “The prudential treatment of banks’ exposures to cryptoassets, and specifically those with features associated with heightened price volatility and where investors could lose the entirety of their investment, is an example in this space.” The post Barclays to Block Crypto Transactions on UK Bank Cards Over Debt Concerns appeared first on Cryptonews .
Bitcoin delivers a textbook liquidity grab, while traders eye a potential BTC price showdown with all-time highs next.
According to recent data from on-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa), a notable Ethereum swing trading wallet executed a significant purchase of 2,484 ETH valued at approximately $6.09 million. This transaction