Hello readers! The financial world is keenly watching the US Dollar, which has been showing strength recently. This movement isn’t happening in a vacuum; it’s largely in anticipation of several crucial pieces of Economic Data set to be released soon. For those of you navigating the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies, understanding these macroeconomic shifts is vital, as they can significantly influence market sentiment and capital flows. Why is the US Dollar Gaining Ground? The US Dollar often acts as a safe-haven asset during times of uncertainty or when markets anticipate significant policy shifts. Its recent upward trend is a classic example of markets positioning themselves ahead of potentially market-moving news. Traders and investors are adjusting their portfolios, betting on how the upcoming data might influence the Federal Reserve’s decisions on monetary policy. Several factors contribute to this positioning: Anticipation of Data: The primary driver is the market’s expectation that upcoming data releases will provide clarity on the health of the US economy. Monetary Policy Expectations: Stronger-than-expected data could reinforce the view that the Federal Reserve might maintain higher Interest Rates for longer, making Dollar-denominated assets more attractive. Global Economic Outlook: Compared to other major economies, the US might currently be perceived as relatively stronger, attracting capital inflows. What Economic Data Should We Watch? The calendar is packed with releases that could sway the Dollar’s trajectory. Here are some of the key reports on everyone’s radar: Consumer Price Index (CPI): This is perhaps the most watched report, detailing inflation at the consumer level. Producer Price Index (PPI): Measures inflation at the wholesale level, often seen as a leading indicator for CPI. Retail Sales: Provides insight into consumer spending, a major component of economic growth. Employment Data (like Non-Farm Payrolls): Indicates the health of the labor market, a key factor for the Fed. FOMC Minutes/Speeches: Commentary from Federal Reserve officials can offer clues about future policy direction. Each of these reports paints a part of the overall economic picture. Traders analyze them meticulously to predict the Fed’s next moves. How Do These Releases Impact the Forex Market ? The Forex Market , or foreign exchange market, is where currencies are traded. It’s the largest and most liquid market globally. Economic data releases are primary catalysts for volatility in Forex. Here’s a simplified look at the potential impact: Data Release Stronger-than-Expected Data Weaker-than-Expected Data Inflation Data (CPI, PPI) Could lead to expectations of higher Interest Rates , strengthening the US Dollar . Could lead to expectations of lower Interest Rates or cuts, weakening the US Dollar . Retail Sales Indicates strong consumer spending, positive for economy, strengthens US Dollar . Indicates weak consumer spending, negative for economy, weakens US Dollar . Employment Data Suggests a strong labor market, positive for economy and potentially Interest Rates , strengthens US Dollar . Suggests a weak labor market, negative for economy and rate hike prospects, weakens US Dollar . Currency pairs involving the US Dollar (like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY) react sharply to these reports as traders adjust their positions based on the new information. The Link Between Interest Rates and the Dollar Monetary policy, particularly the level of Interest Rates set by the Federal Reserve, is a major determinant of currency value. Higher interest rates generally make a country’s currency more attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns on their bond holdings and deposits. When the Fed signals a potential for higher rates (often driven by strong Economic Data , especially Inflation Data ), demand for the US Dollar tends to increase. Conversely, expectations of rate cuts can put downward pressure on the Dollar. This relationship is crucial because central banks use interest rates to manage inflation and stimulate or cool down the economy. The market’s anticipation of these policy moves is what often drives currency fluctuations even before the policy changes occur. Why is Inflation Data So Critical Right Now? In the current economic climate, controlling inflation remains a top priority for central banks globally, including the Federal Reserve. Therefore, Inflation Data releases, such as the CPI and PPI, are perhaps the most impactful reports for predicting the Fed’s next steps regarding Interest Rates . Persistent high inflation could force the Fed to maintain a restrictive monetary policy or even consider further rate hikes, bolstering the US Dollar . Conversely, a significant drop in inflation could give the Fed room to consider rate cuts, potentially weakening the Dollar. Investors are looking for clear signs that inflation is sustainably moving towards the Fed’s target. Any surprises in this data can lead to significant volatility across all asset classes, including the Forex Market . What Does This Mean for Crypto Investors? (Actionable Insights) You might be wondering, how does the US Dollar ‘s strength and these Economic Data releases affect my crypto portfolio? While crypto markets have their own unique drivers, they are not entirely isolated from macroeconomics. Here’s the typical dynamic: Dollar Strength vs. Risk Assets: The US Dollar is often seen as a safe haven. When the Dollar strengthens (driven by factors like higher Interest Rates or economic uncertainty), investors sometimes move away from riskier assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies. This can put downward pressure on crypto prices. Liquidity: Monetary policy affects overall market liquidity. Higher interest rates and a stronger Dollar can sometimes tighten liquidity, making it harder for capital to flow into risk assets. Sentiment: Positive or negative surprises in key Economic Data can shift overall market sentiment, impacting investor appetite for risk. What to watch for: Pay close attention to how the market reacts immediately following the release of major data points like CPI and employment figures. Observe the Dollar Index (DXY) and its correlation (or lack thereof) with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies. While the correlation isn’t always perfect, it’s a significant factor to consider in your analysis. Navigating the Uncertainty Predicting market reactions to Economic Data is never guaranteed. Sometimes, ‘priced-in’ expectations mean the market barely moves, even on significant news. Other times, a small surprise can trigger a large reaction. Key challenges include: Interpreting complex data sets. Understanding market expectations vs. actual results. Accounting for other global factors (geopolitics, energy prices, etc.). Staying informed about the macroeconomic calendar and understanding the potential implications of key data releases is crucial for making informed decisions, whether you’re trading Forex, stocks, or cryptocurrencies. In Summary The recent edging higher of the US Dollar is a clear signal that markets are bracing for impactful Economic Data releases. These reports, particularly those related to Inflation Data and the labor market, will heavily influence expectations for Federal Reserve Interest Rates and consequently, the direction of the Forex Market . While crypto markets have unique characteristics, they are part of the broader financial ecosystem and can be affected by these macro trends. Staying informed about these key economic indicators is a smart move for any investor looking to navigate the coming weeks. To learn more about the latest Forex market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping the US Dollar and interest rates liquidity.
It has been a turbulent year for bitcoin, with the leading cryptocurrency soaring to an all-time peak of $109,356 before retreating to a trough of $74,434. Amid volatile price swings and persistent macroeconomic unease, optimism for bitcoin’s trajectory in 2025 remains notably strong. $250K Bitcoin? 8 Predictions Reveal a Wild Road Ahead for Crypto Consider,
Bitcoin (BTC) hits $39 billion in hot capital after explosive 92% surge
Bitcoin exhibits robust upward momentum. Global economic factors drive price movements. Continue Reading: Bitcoin Surges Forward, Captivating Global Markets The post Bitcoin Surges Forward, Captivating Global Markets appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
The cryptocurrency world is buzzing as a key on-chain metric signals a significant shift in the current Bitcoin landscape. According to data highlighted by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, the percentage of Bitcoin’s circulating supply held in profit has surged past the 85% mark. This isn’t just a number; it’s a strong indicator that the market is entering territory historically associated with heightened investor sentiment and potentially, peak phases of a market cycle . Understanding Bitcoin’s Supply in Profit So, what exactly is ‘supply in profit’? In simple terms, it’s the percentage of the total circulating Bitcoin supply whose acquisition price (the price at which those specific coins last moved) is lower than the current market price. Think of it as tracking how much of all the Bitcoin out there is currently sitting on unrealized gains. Why is this metric important? Here’s a quick breakdown: Gauges Market Sentiment: A high percentage means most holders are profitable, generally indicating bullish sentiment and confidence. Identifies Potential Tops/Bottoms: Historically, extreme highs and lows in this metric have coincided with major market turning points. Reveals Selling Pressure Potential: While high profit can fuel further buying (FOMO – Fear Of Missing Out), it also means more coins are held by people who *could* sell to realize profits. Approaching the Euphoria Zone: What Does 85%+ Mean? The current climb above 85% places Bitcoin’s supply in profit squarely in a range that has historically preceded periods of intense market excitement, often dubbed the ‘ euphoria zone ‘. Data from past cycles suggests that when this metric pushes above 90% or even 95%, the market is typically experiencing peak bullishness. These phases are often characterized by rapid price increases, significant media attention, and high levels of retail investor participation. While reaching the euphoria zone doesn’t guarantee an immediate top, it serves as a crucial warning sign for seasoned investors. It suggests that a large portion of the supply is now held by those who are significantly profitable, increasing the potential for profit-taking events that could lead to price corrections. Comparing Current Trends to Past Bitcoin Market Cycles Looking back at previous Bitcoin market cycle s provides valuable context. Deep bear markets have historically seen the supply in profit plummet to levels as low as 45-50%. This indicates that during peak despair, more than half of the circulating supply was underwater, held by investors at a loss. This capitulation phase often marks the bottom. More recently, during significant price pullbacks within the current bull trend, the supply in profit has dipped to around the 75% level. These dips often aligned with critical support levels, providing opportunities for accumulation before the next leg up. The current surge back towards 90% from these levels highlights the strength of the recent rally but also brings the market closer to historical peak conditions. Actionable Insights for Navigating the Crypto Market What should investors take away from this? While a high supply in profit is bullish up to a point, nearing the euphoria zone necessitates caution. Here are some points to consider: Risk Management: As the market heats up, consider trimming positions or setting stop-loss orders to protect unrealized gains. Profit-Taking Strategy: Have a plan for when and how you might take profits, rather than getting swept up in the euphoria. Look Beyond Bitcoin: While Bitcoin often leads, analyze the health of the broader crypto market and specific altcoins using similar on-chain metrics where available. Long-Term vs. Short-Term: Your strategy will depend on your investment horizon. Long-term holders might view this differently than short-term traders. It’s important to remember that on-chain metrics are tools for analysis, not crystal balls. They provide probabilities based on historical data, but the market can always behave differently. Conclusion: Navigating Peak Sentiment Bitcoin’s supply in profit climbing above 85% is a significant development, pushing the market closer to a state of historical euphoria. While this reflects strong recent performance and widespread profitability among holders, it also signals that the market is entering a phase where caution becomes increasingly important. Understanding this metric and its historical context within the market cycle is crucial for making informed decisions in the dynamic crypto market . To learn more about the latest Bitcoin trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action.
Rumors swirl around Trump's intentions to establish a significant Bitcoin reserve. This bold move raises questions about its impact on the broader crypto market. Attention now shifts to alternative cryptocurrencies that might experience a rapid surge. The anticipation builds as traders and investors eagerly await insights into potential winners in this evolving scenario. Cardano: Past Momentum and Current Price Levels Last month showed a modest gain of nearly 4% while the past six months delivered a strong rise of almost 97%. Price action has reflected steady strength, building a bullish backdrop over recent cycles. The weekly improvement of over 12% underscores recent buying interest and overall vigor in the coin during both short- and mid-term periods. ADA current price sits in a range between $0.47 and $1.02, with key resistance noted at $1.37 and a secondary resistance at $1.92. Support is found around $0.27. Bulls seem to hold slight control, though no clear trend has been established. Trading within these boundaries could be productive, with caution advised if prices dip toward the support level. Solana Price Fluctuations and Key Levels Overview Solana recorded a strong monthly gain of 17.05% amid a backdrop of a 6-month decline of 16.66%. Price action over the past month suggests a rebound from lower levels, while the half-year performance reflects broader market challenges. The data shows periods of recovery mixed with uncertainty, highlighting sentiment shifts during sideways movements and occasional surges. Current trading sees Solana’s price ranging between $97.94 and $165.67, with immediate resistance at $206.76 and support at $71.30. Bulls appear active given recent weekly gains of 6.79%, though the trend lacks clear direction. Trading within these bounds may favor short-term positions while maintaining careful risk management. SUI Soars Amid Market Momentum SUI experienced a 51.52% gain over the past month and a 68.02% rally in the last six months. Price growth has been strong and steady, reflecting positive market sentiment and growing investor interest during these periods. Currently, SUI trades between $1.74 and $3.03 with a nearby resistance at $3.78 and a second level at $5.07, while support stands at $1.21. The rising RSI near 75 and a 59.43% weekly increase indicate bullish pressure, though overbought conditions signal caution. Traders may find opportunities within these key levels, watching the resistance zone as a potential exit or reversal point while monitoring momentum for further confirmation. Conclusion If Trump establishes a strategic Bitcoin reserve, several altcoins may see a quick boost. ADA may benefit as it seeks more institutional interest. SOL could rise due to its fast transactions. SUI may gain attention as a newer player with potential. The move might spur broader interest in these coins, leading to increased investments and market activity. Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
The increased usage of stablecoins has also reached crypto crime markets. In 2024, around 5.14% of all stablecoin trading activities could be linked to high-risk addresses. In 2025, stablecoin activity grew as a whole, along with the inflow to high-risk addresses. The Bitrace Crypto Crime Report for 2024 showed stablecoin payments to high-risk addresses reached $649B worldwide. In 2024, overall stablecoin volumes expanded to over $450B per month, processing an estimated $14T for the whole year. Stablecoin usage increased in place of BTC or ETH payments, as a more intuitive tool. This also invited more scammers or hackers to use the dollar-denominated tokens. Based on Bitrace data, up to 5.14% of all crypto trading activity was linked to high-risk addresses. Online gambling and personalized scams saw increased inflows of stablecoins, with a growing share of USDC. | Source: Bitrace Stablecoin addresses were also closely watched for links to exploits or scams. As most of the highly active USDT tokens are on Ethereum, they were especially suited to the habits of DPRK hackers, who typically quickly swap and launder ETH-based tokens. However, the TRON-based USDT also occupied a significant share of risky addresses. TRC-20 tokens were often used in P2P markets, some of which still conceal illegal operations or are used for laundering. Crypto hacks as a whole slowed down, but various forms of laundering accelerated in 2024. TRON was especially vigilant about its stablecoin supply, deploying the T3 Financial Crime Unit in partnership with Tether. Bitrace tracks stablecoins to several illegal activities Stablecoins flow into several legally grey areas or outright illegal activities. The biggest share of flagged addresses belonged to grey or black markets. Fraud and online gambling were the new growth categories in 2024, surpassing the activity of 2023. Online gambling grew by 17.5% in the past year, for a share of $217B. While USDT was still the leading coin, USDC also grew its share of online gambling. A total of $86.3B in stablecoins flowed into various money laundering destinations. Part of the ability to launder funds was linked to the growth of Web3 facilities, including DEX, lending protocols, and privacy networks like ThorChain . The 2024 laundering trend extended into 2025, as hacking activity resumed. Even with a record supply of stablecoins, the share of those illegal activities remained relatively high as part of the overall turnover. In 2023, up to 5.49% of stablecoins went to dubious addresses, for a total of $574.4B. Bitrace’s estimate shows stablecoins are now more widely used for high-risk activities compared to the bull market of 2021 and 2022. Traders also shifted their selection of currencies, with TRC-20 USDT having the biggest share of grey-area activity. Ethereum-based USDC also increased its usage despite Circle’s attempts to position the stablecoin as fully regulated and transparent. Only a small fraction of those addresses have been exposed and frozen despite regular monitoring. Escrow platforms like Huione Guarantee are one of the key elements of laundering, expanding their volume to $2.64B in 2024. The increased activity of escrow services coincided with a spike of fraud activities. Personal fraud drew in $52.5B in stablecoin traffic for the whole of 2024, exceeding all yearly activity since 2021. Cryptopolitan Academy: Tired of market swings? Learn how DeFi can help you build steady passive income. Register Now
Renewed interest in Ethereum ETFs, strong on-chain metrics, and a bullish chart setup are stoking optimism about ETH reaching $2,000 soon. Institutional demand is on the rise as Ethereum ETFs
Zug, Switzerland, April 29th, 2025, Chainwire With a simple, easy-to-use interface, users will be able to shield their transaction history and trade privately across multiple blockchains in a fraction of a second. Common , a new privacy-first DeFi platform built on Aleph Zero’s infrastructure, today announced the launch of its Web App, in collaboration with the partner responsible for the operation of Common Labs Inc. The mobile version, due at the end of May, will be the world’s first privacy-preserving mobile app in the crypto space that combines speed with ease of use. For this reason, Common represents a watershed moment for crypto mass adoption. The platform initially supports Arbitrum and Aleph Zero’s EVM, with plans to expand to additional chains, including Base and Ethereum, in the coming months. Common serves as the intuitive interface for Aleph Zero’s Shielder Network, a system of smart contracts, relayers, and zero-knowledge cryptography that enables private transactions across multiple chains. This infrastructure makes it possible for users to protect their onchain activity without relying on centralized exchanges. At the core of the experience is “Shielding” , the process of depositing tokens into a shielded pool to break the link between public wallet activity and future transactions. Users can later unshield by withdrawing to a fresh public address, maintaining privacy throughout. With subsecond proving times performed directly on the device, Common delivers seamless privacy without the usual waiting periods or technical barriers. Unlike other privacy solutions, Common does not commingle funds, preserving full provenance for compliance or auditing if needed. “Privacy shouldn’t be a luxury in crypto. It should be the default,” said Adam Gagol, Co-Founder of Aleph Zero and Co-Creator of Common Labs Inc. “We’ve spent years building the technical foundation to make that possible, and with Common, we’re finally delivering it in a way that anyone can use, without plugins, without compromises, and without needing to trust a third party. Privacy becomes something you tap, not something you configure. This launch is just the beginning of building a truly private, multichain financial layer for web3.” Privacy across chains at the touch of a button The Common Web App works with many popular wallets, such as MetaMask, Ledger (via Metamask), or Rabby, requiring no migration and allowing users to begin transacting immediately. The Mobile App will offer the same privacy benefits in a mobile-native experience, including fiat on-ramp support via Banxa and seamless dApp connectivity. As a non-custodial and completely decentralized platform, Common adheres to core DeFi principles. The entire platform is built on open-source, audited smart contracts, allowing users to verify rather than trust the system. Simple, cross-chain privacy This launch marks the first step in a larger rollout of Common’s ecosystem. Future features will allow users to: Shielded Yield: Earn yield on shielded assets through integrated strategies, without exposing wallet activity. Smart Yield: Automated strategies designed to allow users to set their strategy once and let the system optimize their returns, hands-free. Staking Rewards: Aligning platform growth and user commitment by distributing a share of privacy fees and yield success fees to stakers. Multichain Privacy: Extending privacy support to key EVM chains (e.g., Sonic, Berachain, Monad) and emerging Layer-2 networks. Seamless Private Bridging: Enabling private asset transfers between supported blockchains, simplifying multi-chain management. Enhanced Fiat Access & Payments: Streamlining access to/from TradFi via off-ramps, IBAN support, and crypto payment cards for everyday use. For more information about Common and to apply for early access, users can visit https://common.fi/ About Common Common is a privacy-first DeFi platform that makes financial privacy simple, accessible, and multichain. Built on Aleph Zero’s Shielder Network, Common offers both web and mobile applications that allow users to shield their assets, earn private yield, and transact securely across multiple blockchains. With intuitive UX, fiat on-ramps, and non-custodial architecture, Common combines the ease of fintech with the values of decentralized finance, empowering users to take control of their on-chain privacy. Contact Ana Lezama pr@alephzero.org