The post US Recession Looming in 2025? Experts Warn the Trade War Could Push Us There! appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The talk of a possible US recession in 2025 is getting louder, and it’s all linked to the ongoing trade war between the US and China that many of us have been hearing about for months. Experts are saying that if the situation doesn’t change soon, we could be in for a massive recession in 2025. Increasing Odds of a Recession in 2025 Since Trump took office for the second time, the US economy has been stable for a while now, but it now faces serious trouble. Torsten Slok, an economist at Apollo Global Management, recently warned that the US could experience a recession by 2025, mainly due to the trade war with China. In an interview, Slok explained that if the tariffs imposed on Chinese goods stay as high as they are now, up to 145%, the US could face a 4% drop in GDP, leading to a two-quarter economic contraction. The chances of a US recession in 2025 are rising, as the Polymarket now estimates a 56% chance of a recession , and these numbers are only going up. However, this would be a major setback for the economy, affecting businesses and everyday people alike. With no clear moves from the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, the US could be heading toward an economic storm, and these numbers are only getting higher. Impact on Business and Jobs: Are We Feeling It Yet? It’s not just about the 56% possibility of recession; the effects of this trade war are already being felt in the real world. Major retailers like Walmart and Target are bracing for supply shortages. And the biggest reason behind these shortages is that tariffs have made it harder to get goods into the US. Worse, reports are showing that cargo shipments have dropped by a massive 60%. This could lead to shortages and even layoffs, which would make life harder for a lot of Americans. Small Businesses Are at Risk It’s not just the big companies that are struggling. Small businesses, especially in manufacturing, are also feeling the pain. Tariffs are driving up costs, and many of these businesses are already at risk of going bankrupt. If things don’t change, more small businesses might be forced to close. Can We Avoid a Recession? It’s still unclear if the US will go into a full recession in 2025. But one thing is certain: the trade war with China is having a big impact. If the tariffs stay, we might see more job losses and higher costs.
Stocks were slightly up at open on Monday ahead of major earnings reports, including for the Magnificent Seven. The market looked to bounce even as tariffs remained a key issue that investors are increasingly seeing as a source of major uncertainty. The S&P 500 opened 0.28% up, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.45% and Nasdaq added 0.21%. Across the market, Bitcoin (BTC) was up nearly 2% above $95k and gold +0.3% around $3,307 per ounce. However, the U.S. Treasury yields also remained high on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield up 2 basis points to 4.29%. Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury yield was at 3.76%. You might also like: Bitcoin poised to break $100k with ‘little difficulty’ amid capital inflows, analysts say Tariffs, earnings and economic data key this week The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq futures had slipped ahead of U.S. markets opening on April 28, with focus in the week set on upcoming Big Tech earnings. As well as tariffs, still an area of notable uncertainty , the market will also be keen releases on the economic data front. While President Donald Trump’s tariffs remarks and an easing of pressure on Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell helped Wall Street extend weekly gains last week, the U.S.-China trade war situation remains largely cloudy. “I think there is a quiet, bubbling frustration about the status of these negotiations and the status of tariffs,” Jake Sherman, founder of Punchbowl, told CNBC’s ‘Squawk Box’. Focus through the week will however not be just on the tariffs corner. Earnings and Fed’s personal consumer expenditure will highlight the week. Notable quarterly financial results investors are likely to pay attention to are from the Magnificent 7 that includes Big Tech giants Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (META). “Markets have rebounded very nicely off the lows,” said Stephanie Link, chief investment strategist, head of investment solutions at Hightower Advisors. “I think we can continue to rally if earnings continue to be good.” The earnings come through the week, while PCE data, Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, will be out on Wednesday April 30. You might also like: Bitcoin, gold rise while stocks fall: is decoupling here to stay?
So far, the team unloaded over $1.5 million worth of tokens in three days. Other political-themed meme coins like TRUMP are also facing bearish sentiment, with whales opening sizable short positions. Meanwhile, Trump-backed World Liberty Financial signed a major partnership with Pakistan’s Crypto Council to promote blockchain adoption. Back in the US, President Trump proposed eliminating federal income taxes by funding the government through tariffs. Melania Team Deploys DCA Strategy The team behind the Official Melania Meme (MELANIA) token sold more than $1.5 million worth of tokens over the past three days. This points to a programmatic selling strategy that could add even more downside pressure to the token's price. On April 28 alone, the team sold $930,000 worth of MELANIA tokens, which followed a $630,000 sale two days earlier. According to blockchain intelligence firm Lookonchain, the pattern of these sales suggests a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy, where assets are sold at regular intervals to manage market impact and reduce emotional trading decisions. Lookonchain noticed that the Melania team did not simply add or remove liquidity but employed DCA for direct sales as well. Despite the team's heavy selling, MELANIA's price managed to recover more than 21% over the past seven days. However, it still trades about 96% below its all-time high of $13.7, which was recorded on Jan. 20. This was the date of President Donald Trump’s inauguration. MELANIA’s all-time price action (Source: CoinMarketCap ) Meanwhile, sentiment around other political-themed meme coins seems very bearish. A newly created whale wallet recently deposited $1.33 million worth of USDC to open a short position on the Official Trump (TRUMP) token at a price of $14.70, using 2x leverage. This short position will be liquidated if TRUMP’s price rises above $21.50. This indicated that the whale is quite confident that the token's price will fall. The broader meme coin market is still significant in the cryptocurrency sector. During the first quarter of 2025, meme coins represented around 27% of global investor mindshare, making them the second most popular investment theme after artificial intelligence tokens. AI tokens captured over 35%, according to a report by CoinGecko. However, some signs suggest that the meme coin narrative may be losing some steam. The launch of the TRUMP token and its disappointing performance coincided with a major decline in weekly usage activity on meme coin launchpad Pump.fun, which dropped from 2.85 million active wallets during the week of Jan. 20 to just 1.44 million by the end of March. According to CoinGecko’s co-founder Bobby Ong, the market seems to be continuing past trends without any major new narratives emerging just yet. World Liberty Financial Expands into Pakistan’s Crypto Market Another Trump project also recently took some big steps. Donald Trump-backed World Liberty Financial signed a Letter of Intent with the Pakistan Crypto Council to boost crypto adoption in one of the world’s fastest-growing digital asset markets. According to an April 27 report from Business Recorder, the partnership will focus on launching regulatory sandboxes to test blockchain products, expanding stablecoin use cases for remittances and trade, exploring real-world asset tokenization, and supporting the growth of decentralized finance initiatives. World Liberty founders Zach Witkoff, Zak Folkman, and Chase Herro signed the agreement in a recent meeting with the Council’s CEO Bilal bin Saqib, which was also attended by key Pakistani officials including the governor of the central bank, the finance minister, and the IT secretary. World Liberty Financial was launched last year with backing from Donald Trump and his family, and shares its profits with the former president's family. The Pakistan Crypto Council is a government-backed organization overseeing regulatory initiatives to boost crypto innovation and attract foreign investment. Pakistan’s efforts come as the country ranks ninth globally in crypto adoption, with an estimated 25 million active users and $300 billion in annual transaction volume, according to Chainalysis data . (Source: Chainalysis ) Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb explained that Pakistan’s young and tech-savvy population, with around 60% under the age of 30, represents a key advantage in driving innovation and global leadership in the blockchain economy. Pakistan’s push toward a more open crypto environment is reinforced by its recent engagement with key industry figures, including former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, who was appointed as an adviser to the Pakistan Crypto Council to assist with regulatory development and innovation strategies. In addition to private sector partnerships, Pakistan’s Federal Investigation Agency also recently proposed a new crypto regulatory framework that will be aimed at balancing innovation with national security concerns, particularly around terrorism financing, money laundering, and Know Your Customer standards. The proposed framework is expected to roll out in multiple phases starting in 2026. This crypto-friendly pivot is in stark contrast to the country’s position in May of 2023, when former finance minister Aisha Ghaus Pasha said that Pakistan would never legalize cryptocurrencies because of regulatory and security concerns. Trump Pushes for Tariff Funded Government Model Meanwhile, United States President Donald Trump recently announced that federal income taxes will be ”substantially reduced” or potentially eliminated once the administration’s new tariff regime is fully implemented. In an April 27 post on Truth Social, Trump stated that the primary beneficiaries of the proposed tax cuts will be individuals earning less than $200,000 per year. (Source: Truth Social ) He also mentioned that the ”External Revenue Service” concept, which would fund the federal government exclusively through tariffs rather than through the Internal Revenue Service, is beginning to take shape. The elimination of the federal income tax could serve as a positive catalyst for asset prices, including cryptocurrencies, as an increase in disposable income could encourage higher levels of investment. However, analysts still warned that this stimulative effect is not guaranteed and will depend heavily on broader economic conditions. Trump floated the idea of eliminating the income tax before, during an appearance on the Joe Rogan Experience in October of 2024, but offered very few specifics at the time. The proposal was inspired by the late 19th-century Gilded Age when the US government relied largely on tariffs for funding, but it is still highly ambitious. Research from accounting automation company Dancing Numbers estimated that Trump's plan could save the average American $134,809 in lifetime tax payments, with potential savings rising to $325,561 if other wage-based taxes were also eliminated. Trump’s broader tariff policy, however, has drawn a lot of skepticism. On April 2, he signed an executive order introducing sweeping tariffs on all US trading partners, establishing a 10% baseline tariff with additional reciprocal rates against countries that tax US imports. Yet since the order was signed, the administration repeatedly revised its stance by altering tariff rates and delaying implementation dates. This lack of consistency contributed to increased volatility in US financial markets. Financial analysts criticized the protectionist approach, and argued that it undermines capital markets while offering few tangible benefits.
Bitcoin is making headlines again, and for all the right reasons. From Saylor’s Strategy to Asia’s Metaplanet, Bitcoin treasuries are proliferating. At the same time, analysts predict new all-time highs could be mere weeks away. And now, BTC Bull token offers a high-octane way to ride the momentum. Bitcoin Treasuries Stack Coins Amid Hyperbitcoinization Buzz Bitcoin is once again proving its staying power, not just as a speculative asset, but as a bona fide treasury reserve tool for major firms. More and more companies are creating their own treasuries, with new companies forming explicitly for that purpose. These Bitcoin treasury firms are front-running what Blockstream CEO Adam Back calls the ‘200T hyperbitcoinization’ – a seismic shift in which Bitcoin could absorb trillions from global financial markets. The wider Bitcoin community is electric. Analysts point out that Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a stable store of value, especially amid political uncertainty surrounding U.S. policies. Community sentiment around Bitcoin on sites like CoinMarketCap, Twitter, and Reddit has surged over the past month. While the crypto Fear & Greed index is sitting solidly neutral at 51, that’s mainly because altcoins have lost ground to Bitcoin’s dominance. Stocks and $BTC Decouple; Potential All-Time-High in May? Some experts are forecasting new all-time highs as early as May. There are many reasons behind the predictions – first-quarter earnings, Trump’s aggressive pro-crypto stance – but one factor in particular is driving discussion. The correlation between the stock market and Bitcoin fell to under 30% after spending much of the previous month above 60%. What’s driving the divergence? Bitcoin’s position as an independent asset has never been stronger. Multi-billion-dollar companies are building $BTC treasuries and spending USD to do it. Why? In hopes that $BTC decouples from the broader market and charts its own path upwards, potentially to highs above the previous mark of $104K. Bitcoin – The #1 Safe Haven Asset The stock market has been mired in uncertainty in the wake of US President Trump’s erratic and abrupt moves. It’s also sent investors scurrying for so-called ‘safe haven’ assets not tied directly to stock market performance. Bitcoin has proved to be the best of the bunch, outperforming everything and lending credence to the apparent decoupling trend. In fact, the old perception of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation may be giving way to Bitcoin as a hedge against even worse. That would be an ironic development, given crypto’s notorious volatility. In any event, the search for a safe haven is bullish for Bitcoin, but the massive capital inflow also means it’s getting harder for smaller investors to really benefit. For them, the question is simple: is there a way to capture $BTC’s upside without investing tens of thousands? BTC Bull says yes. Bitcoin Bull ($BTCBULL) – Amplified Bitcoin Exposure with 3 Ways to Earn Bitcoin Bull ($BTCBULL) provides a unique solution to this challenge. The project is designed to offer leveraged exposure to Bitcoin’s gains without the complexities of margin trading or futures contracts. $BTCBULL offers strategic token burns and key airdrops whenever Bitcoin reaches critical price points. Each milestone triggers a response by the protocol, designed to tie $BTC and $BTCBULL’s price growth together. The combination of token burns + $BTC and $BTCBULL airdrops gives token holders three ways to earn: $BTCBULL token presale staking $BTCBULL token price increases (helped by deflationary token burns) $BTC airdrop rewards (for investors holding $BTCBULL in Best Wallet app ) Stack BTC Bull’s three ways to earn on top of Bitcoin’s natural price potential, and it’s no wonder that the BTC Bull presale has already passed the $5M mark. Check out our guide on how to buy BTC Bull token , and see why we think the token price can reach $0.00835 from its current price of $0.002485 by the end of the year. Visit the BTC Bull token presale . Why $BTCBULL Thrives off Bitcoin’s Stronger Narrative Bitcoin’s growing perception as a safe haven and institutional reserve asset aligns perfectly with $BTCBULL’s value proposition. As Bitcoin breaks into new all-time highs – potentially as early as May – leveraged plays like $BTCBULL could outperform the broader market dramatically. With memecoin fervor high and traders continuing to chase gains, projects like Bitcoin Bull are uniquely positioned to capture both mainstream and crypto-native attention. This is not financial advice, and the crypto market is always highly volatile, so DYOR (do your own research).
Kamino Finance, the largest decentralized finance (DeFi) lending protocol on the Solana blockchain with over $2 billion in total value locked (TVL), has integrated Chainlink Data Streams to enhance its market data capabilities. This integration leverages Chainlink's low-latency, pull-based oracle infrastructure to provide more efficient and secure market data feeds. The upgrade aims to improve Kamino Finance's performance and attract security-conscious DeFi users, marking a collaboration between Chainlink and a leading Solana-based protocol. This move highlights Chainlink's expanding role in supporting major DeFi platforms on Solana. This is an AI-generated article powered by DeepNewz, curated by The Defiant. For more information, including article sources, visit DeepNewz . To continue reading this as well as other DeFi and Web3 news, visit us at thedefiant.io
Bitcoin treasury firm Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, added another 15,355 BTC to its balance sheet over the past week. The company spent about $1.42 billion at an average price of $92,737 per Bitcoin, according to an SEC filing Monday. The purchase brings Strategy’s total Bitcoin ( BTC ) holdings to 553,555 BTC, worth over $52 billion at Bitcoin’s current price of just above $95,000. The company’s cumulative average purchase price now stands at $68,459 per Bitcoin, reflecting a total investment of around $37.9 billion, including fees. Strategy’s holdings account for more than 2.6% of Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply. Meanwhile, competition in corporate Bitcoin accumulation is heating up . Firms such as Cantor Fitzgerald, SoftBank, Bitfinex, and Tether recently announced a $3.6 billion Bitcoin venture, while new entrants like Twenty One Capital , led by Strike CEO Jack Mallers, are launching with a Bitcoin-native strategy. Shares of Strategy’s MSTR closed 5.2% higher at $368.71 on Friday and are up another 1.42% in pre-market trading Monday. The stock has gained nearly 23% year-to-date, supported by Bitcoin’s price rebound and rising institutional interest in companies focused on Bitcoin. You might also like: Bitcoin poised to break $100k with ‘little difficulty’ amid capital inflows, analysts say Acquisition funding Proceeds from the sale of its Class A common stock and perpetual preferred stock funded the latest acquisitions. Between April 21 and April 27, Strategy sold approximately 4 million shares of MSTR for about $1.4 billion, while also selling over 435,000 STRK shares for $37.5 million. Only $128.7 million worth of MSTR shares remain available for issuance under the company’s existing program. The move comes a week after Strategy added 6,556 BTC for $555 million, signaling the company’s continued aggressive approach to growing its Bitcoin treasury. You might also like: Founders Factory, Coinbase and more join forces to launch U.K. web3 accelerator
Figures reveal the PolitiFi market economy is valued at $3.3 billion, with the lion’s share of that total dominated by the official TRUMP and MELANIA tokens. Since their debut, these two coins have effectively eclipsed the broader PolitiFi sector, leaving much of the remaining field in their shadow. Old PolitiFi Favorites Collapse as TRUMP and
Layer 1 blockchain Dymension has unveiled a major upgrade that will make its rollups solution fully interoperable. Named Beyond, Dymension’s new release means that any project can launch a rollup on virtually any chain – with Dymension serving as the universal settlement layer. Beyond certainly lives up its name, radically expanding the scope of Dymension’s capabilities while doing the same for existing L1 and L2 blockchains, all of which have effectively now gained a badge marked “Rollups-Compatible.” It’s a bold move that should not only raise Dymension’s profile, but drive down the barriers to enterprise blockchain adoption. Rollups-as-a-Service Rollups-as-a-Service (Raas) may not be as popular as SaaS, but it’s a service vertical that’s rapidly gaining ground in web3 circles. By posting minimal data back to the main blockchain for security and finality, rollups are so named because they “roll up” multiple transactions into a single batch. This is the trick to reducing main chain bloat and keeping transaction costs vanishingly small. The other benefit is that rollups inherit the security of the Layer 1 chain while improving scalability – making them analogous to the cuckoo which lays its eggs in other birds’ nests. In an industry that is constantly seeking greater efficiency without reducing protocol security, rollups tick all the right boxes, which is why they’ve become so popular in recent years. Dymension is at the vanguard of this trend, empowering businesses to create their own rollup in minutes. And that ability has just gotten even simpler. What’s cool about the Beyond upgrade is that it transforms the compatibility of every major blockchain without altering its code. You want Ethereum but with lower fees and less congestion? Beyond gives you that. The way the seemingly impossible is made possible is by having Dymension’s chain serve as the bridge connecting rollups and networks such as Ethereum and Solana. Businesses typically choose rollups over spinning up their own public or private chain for a narrow range of reasons: lower maintenance, lower fees, and quicker deployment. Dymension gives them all that, providing connectivity to the omnichain world in a single click. Faster, Stronger The headline upgrade that Beyond brings to the table is the promise of “any rollup, any chain,” but it also adds some other powerful features. Chief among these is a reduction in block times from five seconds to just a single second on Dymension, resulting in a significantly improved user experience. This is blockchain that doesn’t feel like blockchain: it feels like using a conventional web2 platform. It’s an upgrade that will prove invaluable, given that Dymension’s L1 is poised to start seeing a lot more action now that it’s becoming the settlement layer for the multi-chain rollups it now supports. The primary beneficiaries of the Beyond upgrade are obviously businesses looking to deploy their own rollup, who no longer need to study every EVM L2 out there, parsing the differences between optimistic and ZK rollups before settling on a favorite.With Dymension, all roads lead to all chains, and any rollup can be routed anywhere. But aside from benefiting businesses, Beyond also helps Layer 1 chains, which can now effectively bill themselves as rollup-compatible, even though they haven’t modified their underlying architecture. Dymension has described Beyond as being “a new chapter” rather than a mere upgrade, and the hyperbole appears justified in this case. It’s too early to call it a game-changer, but it’s certainly a bold move that will give traditional enterprises and web3 businesses pause for thought. The blockchain world probably doesn’t need more L1s – but there’s always space for more rollups. Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
Strategy recently purchased 15,355 BTC, reaffirming its commitment to Bitcoin. The company raised significant funds through stock sales to finance its investments. Continue Reading: Strategy Confirms Commitment to Bitcoin with Massive Purchase The post Strategy Confirms Commitment to Bitcoin with Massive Purchase appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
Whether BTC is in a short-term painful state as it happened a few weeks ago or it’s rebounding swiftly, Michael Saylor’s Strategy continues to accumulate in substantial portions. In the latest purchase announcement shared earlier on April 28, Saylor said the company he co-founded had acquired 15,355 BTC for $1.42 billion. $MSTR has acquired 15,355 BTC for ~$1.42 billion at ~$92,737 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 13.7% YTD 2025. As of 4/27/2025, we hodl 553,555 $BTC acquired for ~$37.90 billion at ~$68,459 per bitcoin. https://t.co/5OOs3UdWLg — Michael Saylor (@saylor) April 28, 2025 The average price of $92,737 per bitcoin means that the purchase was most likely executed somewhere at the end of the previous business week when the cryptocurrency last traded at those levels. Following this acquisition, Strategy’s stash has exploded to 553,555 BTC, bought for $37.9 billion (or an average price of $68,459 per bitcoin). With BTC now trading above $95,000, the holdings’ value has skyrocketed to $52.7 billion, which means an unrealized profit of approximately $15 billion. Strategy continues with its long-term bitcoin accumulation spree. Its stock price has recovered in the past few weeks after the tariff-induced panic sell-off sent it to under $240. However, MSTR closed on Friday at almost $370, marking a 27.4% monthly surge. The post Strategy’s Bitcoin Stash Grows With Another 15,355 BTC Bought for $1.4 Billion appeared first on CryptoPotato .