The largest pension fund in the world just announced a multi-billion dollar loss largely due to the declining value of the US dollar. Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) recorded a $61.1 billion shortfall in the January-March quarter, its first across-the-board loss in all asset classes since mid-2022, reports the Japan Times. The depreciating dollar, down 4.6% against the yen, significantly reduced the value of GPIF’s international holdings. Global stock markets also faltered, with the MSCI All-Country World Index declining 1.7%, the S&P 500 falling 4.6%, and Japan’s Topix index dropped 4.5%. The deficit reduced GPIF’s assets to $1.73 trillion, a 3.4% quarterly drop, as escalating US trade tariffs fueled concerns about a worldwide economic conflict, further weighing on equities. Meanwhile, Japanese bond yields rose, in contrast to declining US Treasury yields amid the Federal Reserve’s higher-for-longer interest rates. Despite the setback, GPIF achieved a positive annual return of 0.7% for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. With roughly half its $1.5 trillion in total assets tied up in foreign markets, the GPIF will likely face ongoing risks from currency fluctuations and trade tensions in the months ahead, while the US and Japan try to hammer out a new agreement on trade. Follow us on X , Facebook and Telegram Don't Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox Check Price Action Surf The Daily Hodl Mix Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing. Generated Image: Midjourney The post World’s Largest Pension Fund Loses $61,000,000,000 in Three Months Amid US Dollar Decline appeared first on The Daily Hodl .
Economist Nouriel Roubini told CNBC that he expects core inflation in the United States to climb to 3.5% by the end of 2025. He said the second half of the year will bring weaker growth and possibly even a recession, while interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve won’t happen before December. Roubini said the economic slowdown will look like a “mini stagflationary shock” and warned that inflation is still running too hot for the Fed to pivot. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the core personal consumption expenditures index, remains stubborn. Roubini believes it will stay well above target, which keeps the Fed stuck. Growth slowing while inflation remains high is a setup he’s seen before. The economist also said he expects global trade talks to cool off, but not in a way that avoids economic damage. He predicted a “mild” outcome where many countries end up slapped with 15% tariffs. Fed stands still as economy slows and trade tariffs linger When asked about possible market fallout, Roubini said he doesn’t think the US is headed for another April 2 moment . That date, in 2025, saw President Donald Trump announce aggressive tariffs that triggered a 20% market drop. Roubini said, “I’m not expecting, certainly, anything close to April 2.” But the warning still stands. He made it clear the economic path is narrowing, and the Fed has limited room to act. Roubini earned his nickname “Dr. Doom” for predicting the 2008 crash and the 2020 virus-induced recession early. While his accuracy isn’t flawless, his timing on those calls made him hard to ignore. He’s spent years in academia, government, and private investing, and he’s currently a portfolio manager at the Atlas America Fund (USAF), an ETF launched late last year. That fund was built to shield investors from threats like inflation, economic shocks, and climate instability. Despite being small, just $17 million in assets as of now, the fund has held up under pressure. Since launching in November, USAF has gained more than 5%, even though that trails the S&P 500. When the stock market fell apart after April’s tariff news, USAF only dropped under 3%, showing some defense against broader turmoil. Roubini said the goal of the fund isn’t to chase big wins. “It’s not a portfolio for doomsday,” he explained. The fund is built for people who expect slow-moving, long-term instability instead of sudden collapses. It’s trying to stay steady, not spectacular. Atlas America Fund adds gold, cuts real estate, eyes inflation Puneet Agarwal, another manager at USAF, said their focus is on steady returns. “We don’t particularly want outsized returns in one month. We’d rather have the slow and steady uptick, which is exactly what we’ve been seeing,” he said. The ETF holds a mix of gold, short-term US government debt, and agricultural commodities. That lineup has helped at times, but also slowed performance during calmer months like June. Since launch, the portfolio has shifted. USAF recently added more exposure to cybersecurity and defense technology . They also bought short-term inflation-protected bonds and reduced their stake in real estate. The bet on gold gave the fund an edge earlier this year, but became a drag in recent weeks. Still, it reflects a bigger idea Roubini has been pushing. He believes the global economy is slowly drifting away from the US dollar, and investors are starting to prepare for that. “We’re not expecting things to crash. But the trend is clear and it is going [in] one direction,” he said. That direction, according to Roubini, includes elevated inflation, slower growth, geopolitical uncertainty, and tighter financial conditions worldwide. Your crypto news deserves attention - KEY Difference Wire puts you on 250+ top sites
While XRP continues to battle waves of legal news and regulatory scrutiny, Lightchain AI is quietly completing all 15 presale stages, signaling a major milestone in its growth trajectory. With $20.9 million raised and tokens priced at a fixed $0.007, Lightchain AI is gaining significant market fire, attracting investors and developers focused on its intelligent blockchain design and scalable utility. Unlike XRP’s headline-driven volatility, Lightchain AI’s progress is steady and purpose-driven, building momentum through real engagement and accumulation. As XRP navigates uncertainty, Lightchain AI stands ready to capitalize on its completed presale phase and strong community backing for the next wave of growth. XRP Navigates Ongoing Legal Challenges Amid Market Volatility XRP has seen continued volatility in the wake of the legal challenges and market fluctuations. Coverage of the highs of March 2025 was how the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) dismissed its lawsuit against Ripple Labs, which caused the price of XRP to rise above $2.50. But there have been new dynamics since then. In May 2025 it dipped from $2.65 to $2.27 after the SEC rejected a motion to change a different ruling. Nonetheless, Ripple CEO is still positive on XRP's behalf and is hoping it will be added to the (U.S.) strategic reserve as well as an XRP-ETF before the end of 2025. Lightchain AI Completes All 15 Presale Stages With Steady Progress Lightchain AI has completed all 15 presale stages with steady progress, raising over $20 million and building a solid foundation for its ecosystem. A key development is the reallocation of the original 5% Team Allocation to fund developer grants and ecosystem incentives, underscoring the project’s community-first approach. Its efficient workflow and data flow leverage federated learning and cryptographic verification to securely execute AI tasks in real time without exposing sensitive data. The platform’s $150,000 grant pool supports builders, researchers, and emerging projects, accelerating innovation. Together with dynamic resource allocation and performance optimizations, Lightchain AI is positioned for scalable, decentralized AI applications. Lightchain AI- Sparking a Revolution Beyond Headlines The buzz is real— Lightchain AI is making waves with groundbreaking innovation that goes far beyond the hype. Its cutting-edge cross-chain capabilities allow seamless interoperability, connecting multiple blockchains like never before. Add to that smart gas optimization, where fees adapt dynamically to the complexity of AI tasks, and you’ve got a game-changer for cost-effective and efficient operations. This winning formula is driving real adoption, capturing the attention of builders and investors alike. With a focus on long-term, sustainable growth, Lightchain AI isn’t just riding the trend—it’s shaping the future. Don’t just watch the rise—be part of it. https://lightchain.ai https://lightchain.ai/lightchain-whitepaper.pdf https://x.com/LightchainAI https://t.me/LightchainProtocol Disclaimer: This is a sponsored article and is for informational purposes only. It does not reflect the views of Crypto Daily, nor is it intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, or financial advice.
With the crypto economy cruising at $3.33 trillion and bitcoin hovering just under 5% from its record high, plenty of other digital assets are still playing catch-up on the road to fresh all-time highs. Altcoins Flatline as Bitcoin Hovers Below Record Territory It’s been 44 days since bitcoin (BTC) blasted to its weighted all-time high
The crypto market was shaken by a rare occurrence on Friday, July 4, when a dormant whale—holding Bitcoin mined as far back as 2011— became active again . The Satoshi-era entity ended up moving around 81,000 BTC (worth around $8.8 billion) that had been held for 14 years. These significant movements, the largest single-day transfer volume of 10+ year-old coins, sparked interesting conversations in the crypto community. A popular on-chain analyst has come forward with their interpretation of this phenomenon, saying that “old Bitcoin still matters”. Why Does Old Bitcoin Matter? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, pseudonymous analyst Darkfost provided on-chain context on the significance of dormant BTC addresses waking up and shaking the market. This on-chain analysis is based on UTXO Age Bands %, which segments the total BTC supply based on the last time they were transacted. To begin their analysis, Darkfost acknowledged that the coins moved on Friday were reportedly mined in 2011 when Bitcoin was valued at below $1. According to the crypto analyst, these movements are a reminder of the market influence of miners due to extremely large BTC reserves. In their Quicktake post, Darkfost used the UTXO Age Bands % metric to visualize how significant the holdings of these Satoshi-era miners are. According to data from CryptoQuant, the 10+ year age band holds a substantial 17%, the largest percentage of the total BTC supply. The cohort of Bitcoin holders with the second largest portion (15.8%) of the total supply lies within the 6 – 12 month age band. This investor group is followed closely by the 3-5 year age band, with 14.3% of the total BTC supply. “This shift represents the transition from STH to Long LTH and suggests that recent buyers are still holding despite market conditions,” Darkfost explained. Furthermore, investors in the 7 – 10 year age band also hold a significant portion of the total supply, reflecting the control that long-term holders wield over the largest cryptocurrency market. Ultimately, Darkfost concluded that the movement of old BTC is critical to market dynamics as it can carry macro-level implications. Bitcoin Price At A Glance The price of Bitcoin has been relatively steady since the occurrence of these large-scale coin movements, while there has been no indication of selling by the Satoshi-era miner. As of this writing, BTC is valued at $108,135, reflecting no significant change in the past 24 hours.
Grammy‑winning artist Drake has just put out a new track called What Did I Miss? that makes a clear link between his rocky love life and Bitcoin’s wild swings. According to reports, he raps, “I look at this shit like a BTC, could be down this week, then I’m up next week.” Related Reading: XRP’s Time Is Now, Says Pundit—Don’t Snooze On The ‘Biggest Transfer Of Wealth’ That line isn’t just catchy—it’s another sign of how Bitcoin references are moving past finance blogs into hit songs. Adoption Numbers And Hype Based on reports from River, nearly 5% of the world’s population has used or owns Bitcoin so far. That’s a long way from Blockware’s forecast that 10% could be on board by 2030. Those numbers show that while the buzz is loud, real wallets holding Bitcoin remain few. For many, Bitcoin is still a headline rather than a habit. State Level Moves Shift Policy Last month, Texas became the first US state to set up a public Bitcoin stockpile. Governor Greg Abbott signed Senate Bill 21, creating a standalone fund run by state’s comptroller. That setup keeps the reserve out of the normal state treasury, so it can’t be raided for other expenses. A follow‑up bill, HB 4488, cements its legal protection, making sure the fund stays intact no matter what. Not every state has pushed ahead. In May, Florida dropped its crypto legislation, joining Wyoming, South Dakota, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Montana and Oklahoma in pulling back. Arizona’s House Bill 1025, despite getting farther than any similar measure, was vetoed by US President Donald Trump on May 3. Bitcoin Lyrics Hit Home Drake’s new verse isn’t his first high‑stakes play with crypto. Back in 2022, he put $1 million worth of Bitcoin bet on the Super Bowl. That bold wager grabbed headlines and showed he takes crypto chances seriously. Related Reading: The Silent Bitcoin Accumulation: Public Companies’ Surprising H1 2025 Lead Now, by weaving Bitcoin into his music, he’s giving millions of listeners a taste of what traders already know: prices can swing hard, fast, and without warning. Looking ahead, Drake’s new song and Texas’s reserve show two sides of crypto’s rise. The pop‑culture nods pull attention, while real‑world policies test whether Bitcoin can move from hype into everyday use. If both trends keep climbing, Bitcoin could win more hearts—and wallets—in the years to come. Featured image from Chris Delmas/AFP/Getty, chart from TradingView
An $8.6 billion Bitcoin transfer involving dormant wallets has triggered widespread speculation across the crypto community, spotlighting key issues like wallet upgrades and potential government involvement. While blockchain analytics firm
Crypto adoption continues to accelerate, even if some headlines are happening under the radar
Bitcoin’s mempool has reached near-empty levels despite the cryptocurrency trading close to all-time highs in 2025, signaling a notable shift in network transaction activity. This unprecedented reduction in mempool congestion