Bitcoin (BTC) has recently reached a new weekly high above the $112,000 mark, signaling a potential new uptrend for the leading cryptocurrency. This movement may represent the final phase of the current cycle for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. Market analyst CryptoBirb has indicated that this uptrend could last for approximately 50 more days, emphasizing that Bitcoin is now 95% through its cycle, which has spanned 1,017 days since the lows of November 2022. 50 Days Until Possible Bitcoin Peak Historically, Bitcoin’s bull markets have peaked between 1,060 and 1,100 days after significant lows, suggesting a target timeframe for this cycle’s peak could fall between late October and mid-November 2025. The analysis highlights the typical relationship between Bitcoin’s Halving events and subsequent price peaks. Since the last Halving in April 2024, 503 days have passed, with past data showing that price peaks usually occur 518 to 580 days following such events. Related Reading: First US Dogecoin ETF Could Debut Next Week—How Will It Impact Price? As seen in the chart below, Bitcoin is currently 77% to 86% of the way through this timeline, entering what the analyst refers to as the “hot zone”—a period of heightened volatility and potential price movements. However, CryptoBirb cautions that historical trends indicate that after reaching a peak, Bitcoin typically experiences a significant decline, often dropping by 70% to 80% over a 370 to 410-day timeframe. This bearish phase is projected for approximately the first and second quarter of 2026, with a historical probability of a bear market in that year reaching 100%. Before this potential downturn, the analyst expects a final surge, with about 50 days remaining before the market may peak. September, often recognized as a weaker month for Bitcoin, has shown an average decline of 6.17%. Although third quarter statistics can be mixed, with a median increase of 0.80%, the overall average tends to reflect a decline due to larger losses. The typical seasonal pattern suggests that a poor September could be followed by stronger performance in October and November, with September 17 identified as a crucial date to watch by the analyst. Critical Support And Resistance Levels On the technical front, Key support levels are identified at the 50-week simple moving average (SMA) of $95,900 and the 200-week SMA at $52,300. The daily chart reveals further technical insights, including a 200-day breakout point at $111,000 and a 200-day SMA at $101,000. CryptoBirb has identified local support between $107,700 and $108,700, while resistance sits at $113,000 to $114,100. Related Reading: XRP Price Could See 20% Bounce To $3.4 If This Trendline Holds Looking ahead, both short-term and long-term trading trailers are currently in a bearish mode. CryptoBirb asserts that if Bitcoin falls below the critical levels of $107,000 to $108,000, bearish sentiment could intensify, potentially leading to secondary corrections in the range of 20% to 30%. Fortunately, cryptocurrency miners appear to be faring well, with the mining cost established at $95,400, suggesting a healthy market environment with minimal capitulation risk. Lastly, the analyst cautions against the potential for a market peak leading into the altcoin season in October and November. CryptoBirb suggests to mark calendars for October 22, as it could be a pivotal date in Bitcoin’s cycle. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $112,886, down nearly 11% from all-time high levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The SEC and CFTC will hold a joint roundtable on September 29, 2025, to coordinate a unified crypto regulation framework for asset classification, trading platforms, and data reporting, directly affecting
With the Bitcoin price hitting roadblock after roadblock , the next direction looks to be down, with sell pressure mounting up. There have also been crashes below major support levels, such as $112,000, that continue to hinder the growth of the digital asset. This has turned these former support levels into resistance, and one in particular remains a hindrance to the uptrend. If the resistance at $114,000 continues to hold, then Bitcoin investors may be in for a terrible time. Bitcoin Price Remains At Risk Of Crash According to crypto analyst BitBull, the recent rejection of the Bitcoin price from the resistance before $114,000 is a major source of concern. This has cast a shadow over every recovery that the Bitcoin price has staged recently, with the bears still holding a significant amount of power over the price. In the analysis , BitBull pointed out that the $114,000 level remains the level to beat if there is to be a significant recovery. Specifically, the Bitcoin price would have to reclaim this level on the daily timeframe and hold it before further uptrends can occur. Another problem that the cryptocurrency is facing is the timeframe issue. The crypto analyst also points out that the Bitcoin price would need to reclaim $114,000 to increase its chances of an uptrend. This is because the longer it takes for the price to cross $114,000 on the daily timeframe, the higher the chances that the price will crash further . Until this happens, though, BitBull says any recovery is just a bull trap and could precede the next wave of declines. Where BTC Could Be Headed From Here Another crypto analyst, Mags, has also called out the possibility that the Bitcoin price could see a crash from here. This time around, the level of interest is much lower than the $114,000 that BitBull called out, with Mags explaining that $108,000 is actually the point of interest. This level has served as major support during the recent crash, making it the level to beat for bears if they want to take the Bitcoin price lower. Inversely, it is now the level for bulls to defend against further onslaught, and the demand at this level needs to hold to continue the rally. If bulls are successful and they have $108,000, then the crypto analyst sees the Bitcoin price going higher, and possibly toward new all-time highs. However, in the case of a breakdown and bears taking over the support at $108,000, then the Bitcoin price is expected to crash below $100,000 .
Spot Ether ETF inflows fell over a four-day stretch, totaling $787.6M in net outflows amid a short US trading week; traders expect inflows to resume if Ether sustains recent price
COINOTAG News on September 6 cites Farside Investors data showing a weekly net inflow of $250 million into United States Bitcoin spot ETF products. The report details fund-level flows: BlackRock
Bitcoin VDD (Value Days Destroyed) is falling from a 2.4 threshold, indicating declining selling pressure from dormant long‑term holders and reducing downside risk; if sustained demand returns, this easing can
Bitcoin holds above its trendline as miner balance, NVT, and Open Interest shape a cautious bullish outlook.
Diana (@InvestWithD), a crypto enthusiast and XRP advocate, recently shared an analysis suggesting that mid-October 2025 could be a defining moment for XRP. Diana’s argument is based on historical cycles, Bitcoin’s halving timelines, and the removal of regulatory restrictions that previously limited XRP’s performance. The Bitcoin Halving Blueprint Diana began her analysis by recalling the 2017 cycle. She explained that Bitcoin’s halving took place on July 9, 2016, with its peak occurring on December 18, 2017, exactly 527 days later. XRP’s cycle top followed just 18 days afterward on January 5, 2018. According to her, “Bitcoin runs first. XRP detonates right after.” The next halving in May 2020 appeared to continue the cycle when Bitcoin peaked on November 10, 2021, 548 days later. However, Diana pointed out that XRP did not follow its usual trajectory, but topped out in April 2021 due to pressure from the SEC lawsuit . Diana argues that the upcoming cycle is fundamentally different. With the SEC lawsuit now over and Ripple pushing forward with new initiatives such as ETFs, RLUSD, and the Thunes partnership , she claims that “the shackles are gone,” and XRP is once again positioned to follow the original timing model. XRP TO $15–$20? HISTORY SAYS OCT 2025 IS THE DATE History, math, and the end of SEC suppression all point to one window: mid-October 2025. This could be XRP’s most savage run yet — let’s break it down. pic.twitter.com/RJ6Z85b6pz — Diana (@InvestWithD) September 4, 2025 The Cycle Math and Potential Targets Using the same calculation that aligned with the 2017 peak, Diana projected the next cycle. She noted that 2024’s Bitcoin halving sets up for a Bitcoin top on September 29, 2025, exactly 527 days later. If the 2017 pattern repeats, XRP would peak 18 days later on October 17, 2025. According to Diana, a conservative outlook would see XRP in the $5 to $7 range. Her base case places XRP between $10 and $15, driven by ETF inflows and growing utility narratives. She also left room for a more aggressive possibility, suggesting XRP could pass $20 if institutional liquidity surges. Why This Time Is Different Diana stressed that the 2025 cycle cannot be compared to 2017. At that time, XRP’s surge came mainly from retail speculation. In her view, the coming cycle has stronger foundations, with SEC clarity, stablecoin projects such as RLUSD, ETF applications, and Ripple’s broader global partnerships . She summarized this as “infrastructure” rather than speculation. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 She emphasized that if past patterns repeat, Bitcoin could top in late September 2025, with XRP following in mid-October. She advised caution, noting that profit-taking between October and November may be critical, warning, “Miss the exit window, and you’re food for whales.” Diana closed by highlighting XRP’s seven-year wait. She argued that October 2025 could bring “one explosive setup,” potentially pushing the asset beyond its all-time high. Her base outlook remains $10 to $15. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post XRP to $15–$20? Here’s Why October 2025 is the Date appeared first on Times Tabloid .
BitcoinWorld Crucial BTC Perpetual Futures Long/Short Ratio Reveals Shifting Market Sentiment Understanding the pulse of the cryptocurrency market is paramount for any trader. One of the most insightful metrics for gauging immediate sentiment is the BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio . This crucial indicator reveals whether traders are predominantly betting on Bitcoin’s price to rise (long) or fall (short) on major exchanges. Unpacking the Current BTC Perpetual Futures Long/Short Ratio The BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio offers a snapshot of trader positioning, reflecting the collective bullish or bearish bias. When the long percentage is higher, it suggests optimism; conversely, a higher short percentage points to a more cautious or pessimistic outlook. This ratio is derived from the aggregated data across various trading platforms. Currently, the overall 24-hour long/short position ratios for BTC perpetual futures on the world’s top three crypto futures exchanges by open interest present a nuanced picture: Overall: Long 49.72% / Short 50.28% This slight lean towards short positions globally indicates a marginally bearish sentiment among derivatives traders at present. It suggests that, on average, more participants are anticipating a potential downturn or consolidation for Bitcoin. A Closer Look at Top Exchange Data for BTC Perpetual Futures While the overall ratio provides a general sense, examining individual exchange data offers deeper insights into the specific trading behaviors on each platform. Differences can arise due to varying user bases, regional preferences, or even platform-specific events. Here’s how the top exchanges stack up for the BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio : Binance: Long 49.23% / Short 50.77% Bybit: Long 50.53% / Short 49.47% Gate.io: Long 48.6% / Short 51.4% Noticeable variations exist. Binance and Gate.io show a stronger bearish bias, with short positions outweighing long positions. Interestingly, Bybit stands out with a slightly bullish tilt, where long positions are marginally dominant. These differences highlight the importance of not just looking at aggregated data, but also understanding the dynamics of specific trading environments. Why Does the BTC Perpetual Futures Long/Short Ratio Matter to Traders? For savvy traders, the BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio isn’t just a number; it’s a vital tool for market analysis. It can act as a sentiment indicator, helping you understand the prevailing mood among professional and retail derivatives traders. When the market is heavily skewed in one direction, it can sometimes signal a potential reversal. However, it’s crucial to remember that this ratio is just one piece of the puzzle. Overly bullish or bearish sentiment can sometimes lead to crowded trades, making the market vulnerable to sudden liquidations or short squeezes. Therefore, traders often combine this ratio with other technical and fundamental analysis tools for a more comprehensive view. Navigating Market Sentiment with BTC Perpetual Futures Data How can you effectively use this data? Consider the current scenario: an overall slight lean towards shorts. This might suggest caution, but also potential opportunities. If the market continues to drop, short positions could profit. Conversely, if Bitcoin shows unexpected strength, a ‘short squeeze’ could occur, forcing short sellers to buy back, which in turn fuels price increases. Monitoring the changes in the BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio over time is equally important. A sudden shift from heavily long to heavily short, or vice versa, often precedes significant price movements. This actionable insight empowers traders to anticipate potential shifts and adjust their strategies accordingly, leading to more informed decisions. The BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio serves as a powerful barometer for market sentiment, offering valuable insights into the collective positioning of derivatives traders. While the current data points to a slightly bearish lean overall, individual exchange dynamics present a more detailed picture. By integrating this metric with other analytical tools, traders can gain a significant edge in navigating the often-unpredictable cryptocurrency markets. Stay informed and make data-driven decisions to enhance your trading strategy. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) What does the BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio indicate? The BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio indicates the proportion of long (buy) positions versus short (sell) positions in Bitcoin perpetual futures contracts. A ratio above 1 suggests more longs, indicating bullish sentiment, while a ratio below 1 suggests more shorts, indicating bearish sentiment. Why is the long/short ratio different across exchanges? Differences arise because each exchange has its own user base, liquidity pools, and regional trading preferences. While they often follow similar trends, their specific ratios can vary due to unique trading activity on their platforms. Can the BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio predict price movements? While it’s a strong sentiment indicator, the BTC perpetual futures long/short ratio is not a standalone predictor of price movements. Extreme ratios can sometimes signal potential reversals, but it’s best used in conjunction with other technical analysis, on-chain data, and fundamental factors. What are perpetual futures contracts? Perpetual futures are a type of derivative contract that allows traders to speculate on the future price of an asset without an expiration date. Unlike traditional futures, they use a funding rate mechanism to keep the contract price close to the spot price of the underlying asset. How often is this long/short ratio data updated? This data is typically updated frequently, often every few hours or even in real-time by data providers, to reflect the constantly changing market sentiment and trader positions. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your trading community and help them stay ahead in the dynamic crypto market! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial BTC Perpetual Futures Long/Short Ratio Reveals Shifting Market Sentiment first appeared on BitcoinWorld and is written by Editorial Team
Cryptocurrency analyst Joao Wedson pointed out that the Bitcoin mining industry faces increasing challenges in 2025. According to Wedson, while BTC prices remain high, miners' earnings are still well below the peaks in 2017 and 2021. Wedson argued that miners have had to invest more in modern equipment due to the rising hash rate, while on-chain transaction volumes have remained low since 2022. He stated that this situation has created additional pressure on the sector. The analyst announced the development of a new indicator called the Mining Equilibrium Index (MEI) to measure mining profitability. The MEI is calculated by comparing the 30-day average revenue/hash ratio with the 365-day average: Above 1.0: above average conditions Below 0.5: associated with stressful conditions, capitulation, or hash rate adjustments. Related News: BREAKING: The Platform Previously Targeted by Germany Is Allegedly Still Holding Over $5 Billion in Bitcoin According to updated data shared by Wedson, the index currently stands at 1.06. While this level is well above the critical 0.5, it's still far from the 2.5 peaks seen in 2017 and 2021. Wedson said the key question for 2025 is whether mining companies can continue to secure the Bitcoin network despite increased competition and operational costs (including employee expenses, electricity, and infrastructure). According to the analyst, miners may be forced to sell some of their reserves if profitability doesn't cover expenses. *This is not investment advice. Continue Reading: Analyst Warned: “Miners May Be Forced to Sell Bitcoin!” – Explained the Reason