On June 23rd, former President Trump addressed geopolitical dynamics concerning Iran via his social media platform, Truth. He remarked that while the phrase “regime change” may be deemed politically sensitive,
Bank of America is pointing global investors toward Australia, predicting that its sovereign bonds are poised to outperform in what it calls a “post-dollar” world. In a research note released Wednesday, FX strategists Oliver Levingston, Adarsh Sinha, and Janice Xue highlighted Australia’s fixed-income market as a likely hotspot for capital inflows amid ongoing global de-dollarization. “De-dollarization was a major theme on our trip to the United States and Canada, and we continue to highlight the significant impact small shifts in global fund managers’ asset allocations could have on the demand profile for AUD fixed income.” The note makes the case that Australia’s relatively small bond market could experience dramatic price swings if global investors keep fleeing U.S. dollar-denominated assets. Investors have been looking for more sound and undervalued alternatives as the greenback has lost its previously unassailable haven status, particularly after almost a year of political and economic tumult under President Donald Trump. Investors dump dollar amid Trump-era volatility The report directly attributes the trend to increasing global discomfort with U.S. financial stewardship. The re-emergence of Donald Trump on the political scene, along with a fresh wave of belligerent trade policies and what the bank calls “economic nationalism,” has only hastened investor diversification . Trump’s declaration of sweeping tariffs earlier this year, which markets dubbed “Liberation Day,” set off a global market selloff. Investors stampeded to pull out of U.S. markets, anxious about protracted uncertainty and trade isolationism. This “Sell America” movement was marked by heavy selling of Wall Street stocks, U.S. Treasurys, and even the dollar itself. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of leading currencies, has slid by about 9% year-to-date in 2025, its most significant decline in over 10 years. Investor conviction in the dollar is non-existent; as Bank of America’s June Global Fund Managers Survey showed, 86% of respondents believe the dollar will devalue in the coming 12 months , a new record low. The report found fund managers with less of a long-dollar bias than at any time in the past 20 years. Almost 20 percent of the 222 managers polled with $587 billion under management said that betting against the dollar was the most “crowded trade” globally. This loss of confidence has paved the way for other currencies, particularly those linked to stable economies rich in raw materials like Australia, to gain the favor of global reserve managers and institutional investors. Central banks boost demand for AUD bonds Now, Australia is feeling the consequences of that change in sentiment. Its 10-year government bond yield is about 4.24%, which is not that different from the U.S. equivalent of 4.43%. But Bank of America sees this gap widening in the years ahead. By late 2026, the bank predicts that Australian bonds will have a 75 basis point spread, which would entail stronger demand and higher prices. The note said that the demand outlook for AUD fixed-income assets appeared strong with support from Australia’s growing superannuation funds and the possibility of bank deregulation. One big reason is the rising demand for “peripheral dollar bloc assets,” consistently stable currencies in faraway lands from American politics, supported by strong local fundamentals. The proportion of official reserves in Australian dollars has doubled in the past ten years. The strategists estimate that a 1-percentage-point lift in global reserve demand would absorb 185% of the net supply of Australian sovereign bonds for the current fiscal year. Australia’s large pension funds have also been moving into the local bond market with increasing vigor. These superannuation funds are internationalizing their balance sheets, and the demand for AUD-denominated assets flows. Cryptopolitan Academy: Want to grow your money in 2025? Learn how to do it with DeFi in our upcoming webclass. Save Your Spot
As the globe fixates on America’s involvement in the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, the probability of a July quarter-point rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve has edged up by a percentage point, reaching 15.5%. Rate Cut Radar Lights Up After U.S. Hits Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Just two days ago—after the latest Federal
The cyber battlefield between Iran and Israel is now just as active as the missile barrages seen across the region. According to reporting from Politico, both countries have been launching targeted cyberattacks in parallel with military action, and American officials are warning this digital warfare could soon hit the United States directly. The US military’s overnight airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear sites raised the risk of direct cyber retaliation against American infrastructure. Military and intelligence analysts say Iran’s next move could involve hacking into US electricity grids, water systems, or other critical networks. Alex Vatanka, senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, said bluntly that “cyber is one of the tools of Iran’s asymmetric warfare.” The National Terrorism Advisory System issued a public alert on Sunday warning that Iranian-affiliated hackers could target “poorly secured US networks and Internet-connected devices.” US officials say low-level pro-Iranian hacktivist attacks are likely, and more serious government-linked intrusions are possible. US defense and private sector on high alert for Iran-backed attacks General Dan Caine, who chairs the Joint Chiefs, confirmed to reporters on Sunday that US Cyber Command had supported the military strikes, though he didn’t provide further details. The Pentagon’s cyber branch gave no public comment, and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) also declined to respond when asked about its defensive posture. Behind the scenes, though, critical infrastructure groups last week warned American companies to get their defenses up fast. Jen Easterly, the former CISA Director, took to LinkedIn and posted that US infrastructure players should keep their “shields up” and expect “malicious cyber activity.” Jen reminded readers that Iran has a long history of cyber strikes on civilian targets, including water plants, financial systems, pipelines, and government websites. She didn’t confirm whether Israel’s recent airstrikes affected Iran’s cyber capacity, but she did say the threat remains serious. In 2023, an Iranian gang breached an Israeli hospital and leaked patient data. Not long after, an Israeli hacking group shut down large parts of Iran’s gas station network. Vatanka told reporters that Israel still holds the upper hand, saying , “The Iranians… are good, they are emerging, but I don’t think they’re at the level of the Israelis or Americans.” The Israeli-aligned hacking group Predatory Sparrow claimed responsibility for shutting down Iran’s Bank Sepah, which caused widespread customer problems. They later said they had drained $90 million from Nobitex, the country’s biggest crypto exchange. The group also dumped pieces of Nobitex’s source code on X, formerly Twitter. Iran responds with shutdowns, surveillance, and renewed espionage As cyberattacks hammered Iran’s digital infrastructure, its state broadcasters were also hijacked. Multiple videos showed anti-government messages popping up on Iranian state TV last week. That triggered a government-ordered internet blackout still in effect as of Sunday, aimed at blocking public access to the attacks. Vatanka said this showed Iran’s regime was trying to “gain control of the flow of information” and possibly prevent public unrest. Security officials inside Iran have started locking down their own tech use. Last week, senior Iranian personnel were told to ditch any internet-connected devices, especially phones, to limit exposure to more Israeli cyber disruptions. This came after reports that Israeli intelligence may have tracked down Hezbollah units in Lebanon using wireless signals from pager devices. Thousands of those pagers reportedly exploded, leaving many injured. One reason Israel’s cyberattacks worked so well is timing. Israeli forces launched the first blows—both in the air and online, giving them extra room to prep their defensive and offensive systems while Iran scrambled to catch up. Still, Iranian-backed groups aren’t done. Over the weekend, Israel’s National Cyber Directorate warned its citizens abroad not to fill out digital forms or click links on suspicious sites that may be harvesting personal data for intelligence. Gil Messing, chief of staff at Check Point Software, told reporters Saturday that cyber campaigns targeting Israel had recently “escalated a bit.” He didn’t mention any new damage but said there was a surge of disinformation on social media, including false texts about gas shortages and fake instructions telling people to avoid shelters. The Israeli civilian cyber defense agency also said Iran was trying again to break into internet-connected cameras for surveillance. That tactic is cheap, fast, and dangerous—and it’s hard to trace. Inside the US, the alarm bells are ringing again. John Hultquist, chief analyst for Google’s Threat Intelligence Group, posted on X that Iran’s cyber units often focus on “psychological purposes.” He added that his biggest fear right now is cyber espionage targeting US leaders. “I’m most concerned about cyber espionage against our leaders and surveillance aided by compromises in travel, hospitality, telecommunications, and other sectors where data could be used to identify and physically track persons of interest,” John wrote. KEY Difference Wire helps crypto brands break through and dominate headlines fast
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