Jake Clover, CEO of Digital Ascension Group and a long-time XRP advocate, used a new video published on September 3 to deliver an unambiguous message to traders waiting for one last capitulation: he doesn’t think a 90% collapse is coming back. “I would love it too. I don’t think it’s going to happen,” Clover said, arguing that the market already gave skeptics ample time to buy during prolonged sub-$1 ranges. “When it was 50 cents, nobody wanted to buy it… You had three years to buy it at 50 cents or 30 cents or 40 cents or whatever it was. It ain’t coming back.” Will XRP Never Crash By 90% Again? Clover roots that conviction not in a single catalyst but in what he describes as a structural change to XRP’s market microstructure. He repeatedly cites the role of spot exchange-traded products – Bloomberg’s James Seyffart puts SEC approval in 2025 odds at 95% – and the execution algorithms used by institutional liquidity providers as a persistent source of demand that alters the asset’s downside dynamics. “It’s going to be sustained here because of the ETFs, because of the TWAP and VWAP and them entering the market. They’re not letting it come back down,” he said, referring to time- and volume-weighted execution that systematically slices large orders into the market over extended intervals. Related Reading: XRP Millionaires Dump After Major Accumulation Trend, Will It Be A Red September? He frames the current tape as a test the asset has already passed. “If it was going to [crash], there’s a bunch of stuff that rolled up and then it’s back down 90% since it went up. XRP hadn’t done that,” Clover noted, contrasting XRP’s behavior with other, sharper retracements elsewhere in crypto. In his reading, support has repeatedly asserted itself on the cross with Bitcoin as well. “It’s back on the line here where there’s been support on the Bitcoin and XRP chart. I think it’s up from here, especially if Bitcoin keeps going up,” he said, tying XRP’s path to the broader beta of the cycle. Clover also connects his outlook to a suite of prospective macro and market-structure tailwinds. He points to what he calls a “reverse carry trade,” the prospect of “adoption for the backend settlement of the stock market,” and the influence of ETF flows as scenario drivers that could render near-term entry prices largely irrelevant over a longer horizon. In one of the video’s most pointed passages, he underscores that view with a blunt thought experiment on future price levels: “You’re not going to care if you bought it at $2.30 or you bought it at $2.40 or you bought it at $2 when it’s a hundred dollars or $200 or $500.” Related Reading: XRP Will Lead The Next Upswing, Says Analyst — Here’s The Case The operational takeaway he offers to investors is procedural rather than tactical. Clover is explicit that market timing is a losing game for nearly everyone and that disciplined accumulation outperforms attempts to catch exact bottoms. “Dollar cost averaging is going to be your best bet 99.9% of the time,” he said. “Trying to time the market, you’re not going to do it. It’s like 1% of traders that ever timed the market well. And those that dollar cost average in, you’re going to win. Like you can’t, you can’t lose doing that. You’re going to get highs and lows, but your average is going to be pretty fair.” Risk management, in his account, is non-negotiable. He warns explicitly against taking on debt or leverage that compromises basic obligations in order to chase upside. “Don’t leverage yourself or over leverage yourself to the point where you can’t make your bills or can’t pay other stuff,” Clover said, adding that small, regular allocations made only from surplus cash are the appropriate way to express conviction while surviving the volatility that remains endemic to the asset class. If that thesis holds, the implication for strategy—again in Clover’s own words—is to stop waiting for the ghost of an old regime. “I know everybody wants the most they can get on stuff,” he said, “but dollar cost averaging is going to be your best bet… When you have some extra liquidity, buy a little bit.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.87. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Strategy erfüllt fast alle Kriterien für den Beitritt in den S&P 500. Die Aufnahme könnte nicht nur das Unternehmen stärken, sondern auch Bitcoin und den gesamten Kryptomarkt. Doch die Entscheidung liegt beim unabhängigen US Index Committee – und das könnte kritisch auf das Modell schauen. Die Wall Street schaut gespannt auf Michael Saylors Unternehmen Strategy. Der mögliche Aufstieg in den S&P 500 ist nicht nur für Aktionäre spannend, sondern könnte auch die Krypto-Welt kräftig bewegen. Doch trotz beeindruckender Zahlen bleibt am Ende eine entscheidende Hürde: die Zustimmung des US Index Committee. Strategy vor dem großen Sprung Michael Saylors Firma Strategy, früher bekannt als MicroStrategy, hat es fast geschafft. Analysten sehen die Chance auf eine Aufnahme in den berühmten US-Leitindex S&P 500 bei satten 91 Prozent. Das wäre nicht nur ein Prestigeerfolg, sondern ein echter Meilenstein für das Unternehmen. Denn neben Coinbase und Block wäre Strategy erst das dritte Unternehmen mit starker Krypto-Verbindung im Index. 100x growth in 5 years with $BTC . Thinking about the next 5 years… pic.twitter.com/7ZQo2yF2TY — Strategy (@Strategy) August 11, 2025 Der S&P 500 gilt als wichtigstes Barometer der US-Wirtschaft, und ein Platz darin bedeutet automatisch mehr Aufmerksamkeit von Investoren. Für Strategy könnte das einen kräftigen Schub bedeuten. Doch auch die Krypto-Welt blickt gespannt, denn das Unternehmen hält mehr Bitcoin als jede andere Firma weltweit. Warum Strategy so wichtig für Bitcoin ist Strategy hat aktuell 636.505 Bitcoin in der Firmenkasse – eine gigantische Summe, die selbst kleine Länderhaushalte übertrifft. Kein anderes Unternehmen hat eine so große Bitcoin-Treasury. Damit ist Strategy eng mit der Kryptowährung verflochten, und jede Kursbewegung spiegelt sich in beiden Richtungen wider. Würde Strategy in den S&P 500 aufgenommen, kämen automatisch Milliarden von Dollar durch Indexfonds und ETFs ins Spiel. Diese investieren nämlich blind in alle Unternehmen des Index. So könnte der Aktienkurs stabiler werden – und Bitcoin gleich mit profitieren. Der S&P 500 als Türöffner Eine Aufnahme in den S&P 500 bedeutet für Unternehmen weit mehr als nur Ruhm. Viele große Fonds und Privatanleger investieren automatisch in alle enthaltenen Firmen. Das sorgt für verlässliche Nachfrage nach der Aktie und in vielen Fällen für steigende Kurse. Da Strategy so eng mit Bitcoin verbunden ist, würde ein solcher Effekt auch die Kryptowährung stützen. Der Markt könnte dies als Signal werten, dass Bitcoin noch weiter in den klassischen Finanzstrukturen angekommen ist. Für Krypto-Fans wäre das eine Bestätigung, für Skeptiker vielleicht ein Denkanstoß. Damit würde die langfristige Prognose für Bitcoin weiter an Kraft gewinnen. Die harten Kriterien Der Weg in den S&P 500 ist streng geregelt. Unternehmen müssen mindestens 22,7 Milliarden US-Dollar wert sein, über Monate hinweg hohe Handelsvolumina zeigen und vier Quartale in Folge Gewinn machen. Außerdem wird ein Liquiditätsfaktor von mindestens 0,75 verlangt. Strategy erfüllt all diese Anforderungen mit Leichtigkeit. Laut Nasdaq liegt der Börsenwert bei rund 92 Milliarden US-Dollar, das Handelsvolumen ist riesig und die Gewinne der letzten vier Quartale belaufen sich auf über 5 Milliarden US-Dollar. Rein rechnerisch gibt es also kaum etwas zu meckern. Das letzte Wort hat das Komitee Doch Zahlen allein reichen nicht. Die finale Entscheidung trifft das US Index Committee, ein Gremium mit zehn Mitgliedern. Sie stimmen per Mehrheitsbeschluss ab, wer in den Index aufgenommen wird. Dabei zählen nicht nur die harten Fakten, sondern auch weiche Faktoren. Gerade bei Strategy könnte das kritisch sein. Das Modell basiert stark auf Bitcoin, und dieser Markt ist bekanntlich extrem volatil. Ob das Komitee die Nachhaltigkeit des Ansatzes anerkennt oder als Risiko sieht, bleibt spannend. Krypto rückt näher an die Wall Street Sollte Strategy den Sprung schaffen, wäre es ein klares Zeichen: Krypto-Unternehmen gehören zunehmend zur etablierten Finanzwelt. Schon Coinbase und Block haben vorgemacht, wie viel Aufmerksamkeit und Vertrauen der Index mit sich bringt. Strategy könnte diesen Trend weiter verstärken. Damit würden die Grenzen zwischen klassischen Märkten und der Welt der Kryptowährungen noch mehr verschwimmen. Für viele Beobachter ist das ein entscheidender Schritt hin zur langfristigen Akzeptanz digitaler Assets. Chancen für Anleger Für Investoren hätte die Aufnahme gleich mehrere Folgen. Passive Anleger würden automatisch in Strategy investieren, ohne selbst aktiv entscheiden zu müssen. Gleichzeitig könnten Trader von der zusätzlichen Bewegung im Markt profitieren. Auch für Bitcoin selbst könnte das ein Gewinn sein. Mehr Kapital bedeutet mehr Aufmerksamkeit, und die Glaubwürdigkeit der Kryptowährung würde weiter steigen. Wer bisher gezögert hat, könnte durch die S&P-500-Aufnahme Vertrauen gewinnen. Fazit: Zwischen Euphorie und Risiko Strategy steht an der Schwelle zu einem historischen Schritt. Die Aufnahme in den S&P 500 könnte sowohl das Unternehmen als auch Bitcoin und den gesamten Kryptomarkt stärken . Anleger sehen darin große Chancen, und die Aufmerksamkeit ist riesig. Doch Risiken bleiben. Die Entscheidung des US Index Committee ist unberechenbar, und die starke Abhängigkeit von Bitcoin birgt Unsicherheit. Ob Strategy am Ende den Sprung schafft, wird zeigen, wie offen die Wall Street wirklich für Krypto ist. Neue Player wie Bitcoin Hyper Während Strategy die Schlagzeilen dominiert, entstehen im Hintergrund neue Projekte. Ein Beispiel ist Bitcoin Hyper, ein Layer-2-Netzwerk für Bitcoin. Es verspricht blitzschnelle Transaktionen, smarte Verträge und minimale Gebühren. Kurz gesagt: Bitcoin wird nicht nur zum Halten, sondern zum aktiven Nutzen. Noch spannender ist die Kombination aus Bitcoin und Solana-Technologie: Bitcoin HYPER verbindet dabei die Sicherheit und Stabilität von Bitcoin mit der Geschwindigkeit und dem hohen Utility von Solana. Der eigene Token $HYPER bietet Staking-Rewards, Governance-Rechte und die Möglichkeit, in dApps aktiv zu werden. Für frühe Unterstützer ist der Einstieg besonders günstig, und durch die Verbindung zu Bitcoin könnte das Projekt eine spannende Ergänzung im Krypto-Ökosystem werden. Damit vereint Hyper zwei Welten, die bisher getrennt waren – Stabilität und Tempo – und schafft so einen Investment-Case, der auf lange Sicht echten Mehrwert verspricht. Jetzt rechtzeitig einsteigen und $HYPER im Presale kaufen. Hinweis: Investieren ist spekulativ. Bei der Anlage ist Ihr Kapital in Gefahr. 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The German Government did not confiscate all BTC from the Movie2K piracy site. Old wallets with 45,000 BTC have been discovered, showing addresses that the German government did not manage to seize. The German Government apparently did not seize all the BTC from the Movie2K piracy site. According to Arkham Intelligence, the site creators had another stash of 45,000 BTC, currently valued at nearly $5B. A new entity was tagged by Arkham, with 100 linked wallets holding 45,000 BTC, valued at $4.99B. | Source: Arkham Intelligence For now, there is no legal recourse to claim the BTC. Earlier, the founders of the Movie2K piracy site voluntarily transferred 48,898 BTC to new wallets controlled by law enforcement. The German government sold due to the potential BTC volatility and the risk of losses, skipping one of the biggest BTC bull markets in late 2024 and 2025. Arkham identifies new BTC wallets linked to Movie2K Movie2K already surrendered nearly 50K BTC to the German government in early 2024. Later that year, the government sold all its BTC, tanking the price to below $50,000. The German government sold at around $57,500 in the summer of 2024, shedding all holdings for around $2.89B. In total, the government liquidated 54,000 BTC from several seized wallets. The newly discovered wallets arrived a little over a year since the country sold its holdings within days. The German government became notorious for selling at a much lower price and skipping billions in earnings. The sales happened just before Germany ushered in a new government that made crypto-friendly statements. Two years after the latest transfers, the Movie2K wallet cluster still contained $4.99B in value, spread across multiple connected wallets. Arkham tracked down the cluster based on connections to the German Government wallets. According to Arkham, the cluster contains 100 connected wallets, which have not moved their holdings since 2019. Movie2K was active until 2013, and the BTC was acquired as a way to park the proceeds from running the piracy site. Over time, the relatively small payments were turned into a significant treasury. For now, it remains uncertain if all wallets are accessible and if the funds can also be claimed. Can Germany build a strategic BTC reserve? As of July 2024, the case against Movie2K was still under investigation, with authorities giving no further details. The first tranche of BTC was voluntarily sent by the two suspects, a German male, 40, and a Polish male, 37, at the time of the arrests. All involved persons from Movie2K received suspended sentences, but have not touched the BTC even after their trial. None of the sentences targeted crypto ownership as such, and were applied for copyright infringement and money laundering. The case is still not closed, and the new information may mean the Dresden prosecutor’s office is facing another dilemma about becoming a large-scale BTC holder. The case was assisted by the US FBI, as well as by a Munich-based IT company. Governments have remained some of the biggest passive holders of BTC, with a reported 525,364 BTC in total. With the latest inflows, Germany would line up just behind Ukraine with replenished BTC holdings. If transferred, the 45,000 BTC could turn into one potential source of selling. However, the market has managed to absorb the tokens, and Germany’s move did not have lasting damage. Instead, it made the BTC market more confident after easily absorbing even large-scale whale holdings. Get seen where it counts. Advertise in Cryptopolitan Research and reach crypto’s sharpest investors and builders.
Bitcoin traders often wonder when the optimal moment to step in might be. According to K33 Research, a leading crypto analytics company, that moment may arrive sooner than expected. The firm is calling attention to September, which is often a weak month for Bitcoin, as offering a strategic buying zone, where disciplined accumulation may pay off. K33 Research And The Strategic Buying Zone Since 2011, September has been the only month where Bitcoin has consistently posted negative returns. According to data from CryptoRank, September has the highest average losses for Bitcoin, about negative 4.96 percent. Traders often refer to this seasonal slump as the “September curse.” Although recent years have defied the pattern, the month is still tough for crypto markets, largely due to broader risk-off sentiment in global equities as investors rebalance portfolios ahead of the final quarter. This year, global economic slowdowns and uncertainty around US trade tariffs and interest rate cuts have added pressure to the market, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. According to a report by K33 Research, this is not a sign of sustained weakness but rather the kind of environment that creates opportunity. Particularly, K33’s analysis frames any dip into the $94,000 to $101,000 range as a tactical sweet spot for investors. Rather than waiting for new highs, the firm advises viewing September’s volatility as a window for strategic entry. The Next Bitcoin Entry At the time of writing, Bitcoin is holding up around the $112,000 price level, although the volatility in the past few days saw it break below $110,000 very briefly to reach $109,399. The volatility was even more pronounced on September 1, when Bitcoin broke below $110,000 to touch $107,400 twice. If Bitcoin were to fall to $101,000, it would translate to a 10% decline from the current price level. This crash would weaken bullish sentiment. A deeper fall to $94,000 would be even more significant, translating to a 16% drop and causing Bitcoin to lose its psychological foothold at the six-figure threshold of $100,000, which would undoubtedly cause havoc to any bullish sentiment left. However, according to analysts at K33 Research, a crash to this zone between $101,000 and $94,000 would be the best time for bullish traders to load up on any more Bitcoin before the next move up. The firm’s model suggests that should Bitcoin retrace into this band, that zone may well represent the optimal risk-reward crossroads for long-term investors. Bitcoin’s midterm momentum is starting to turn bearish, but it has managed to hold up above $110,000. Despite this, bullish analysts are still pointing to new all-time highs before the end of 2025. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $112,550, up by 1.5% in the past 24 hours.
Cryptocurrency analyst Timothy Peterson has shared a remarkable seasonal analysis of Bitcoin's price movements. According to Peterson, September 21st is the worst day of the year for Bitcoin. The analyst argued that there's about an 80% chance Bitcoin will fall on that date. According to Peterson's data, the average daily loss on September 21st was one of the steepest declines of the year, with a median daily loss of -2.00%. March 22nd came in second with a daily loss of -1.52%, and September 24th came in third with a daily loss of -1.50%. This makes two of Bitcoin's three worst days of the year in just four days. Related News: JUST IN: New Details Emerge on the Anticipated $1 Billion Solana (SOL) Purchase The analyst also reminded that Bitcoin lost 6.5% of its value in August and predicted that, in line with this seasonal pattern, the price could be in the range of $97,000 – $113,000 by the end of September. Peterson added that such fluctuations are part of a seasonal pattern that goes back many years. At the time of writing, the BTC price is trading at $111,253. *This is not investment advice. Continue Reading: Watch Out: The Worst Day of the Year for Bitcoin Has Been Identified and It’s Close – Here’s the Date to Prepare For
Interest rate cuts are typically bullish for crypto because lower rates boost liquidity and risk appetite; expected Federal Reserve cuts in 2025 could drive inflows to digital assets and support
Michael Saylor's Strategy (MSTR) missed out on being added to the S&P 500 index on Friday, despite hopes of inclusion after the company posted one of the strongest quarters in its history and met all criteria for joining the index. The stock of the largest corporate bitcoin (BTC) holder declined nearly 3% after market hours, erasing all of Friday's gains. The inclusion would have been a significant milestone for the company and for the industry as it would have exposed millions of average investors and portfolio managers to the company, potentially acting as a bullish catalyst. In a surprise move on Friday, the digital trading platform Robinhood (HOOD), with growing crypto ambitions, was included in the S&P 500 index, driving the stock 7% higher after the market close. The changes will go into effect on September 22. Before Friday, only two crypto-linked stocks were part of the index: Crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) and Jack Dorsey's Block (XYZ). Robinhood will now be added to this coveted list. Read more: Strategy Qualifies for S&P 500, Inclusion Decision Could Come on Friday
BlackRock reallocated $151.4M out of Ethereum and purchased $289.8M of Bitcoin, confirming BTC as its largest crypto holding; filings show iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) gained while iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA)
S&P 500 adds Coinbase, marking the index’s first major crypto-exchange inclusion and lifting related fintech stocks. The decision, effective May 19, reflects growing institutional acceptance of regulated crypto firms and
On Friday, Sora Ventures unveiled a bitcoin treasury fund targeting $1 billion in purchases within six months. Sora Ventures Unveils $1B, 6-Month Bitcoin Treasury Plan in Asia The firm announced the plan at Taipei Blockchain Week. Backers have reportedly committed $200 million to start now. Essentially, the goal is to buy bitcoin (BTC) over a